Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

4

Jamie Oleksiak

Seattle Kraken Defense

Six-foot-seven and 252 pounds — the heaviest defenceman in this edition — at eighteen and a half minutes a night.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2012-13DAL16022-514000110.014:50
2013-14DAL7000-3200050.017:47
2014-15DAL3617808000362.813:24
2015-16DAL19022-521000130.012:43
2016-17DAL41527-4370013315.216:13
2017-18DAL/PIT6851217+787101816.216:40
2018-19PIT/DAL574812+545000557.314:44
2019-20DAL693710-641001764.015:49
2020-21DAL566814-335002847.120:29
2021-22SEA7211617-154000951.119:20
2022-23SEA7591625+13720027611.819:15
2023-24SEA8221315-2370001081.819:39
2024-25SEA8241317-234001666.118:47
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—68040106146-64871087395.417:34

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

4 goals and 13 assists in 82 games — 17 points at 18:47 a night, minus-2, with 34 penalty minutes.

46.6 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 20th percentile. His ice went 42-55 against an expectation of 44.02-50.48 — eight goals better than expected for and twelve worse against, on a top pairing.

The Finesse Game

66 attempts in 82 games at a median of 53 feet with 76 per cent from beyond 40 and 7 per cent from inside 20, and 4 goals. The shot exists and it is used to get the puck to the net.

13 assists. The first pass is simple and it is where the limitation is: under a heavy forecheck he chips it out rather than making a play, and the club’s exits get worse when he is the one making them.

The Physical Game

6-7 and 252 pounds — the heaviest defenceman in this edition and among the largest men in the league. Nobody moves him from anywhere. He clears the front of his own net by simply standing in it, he defends the rush with reach rather than with speed, and he wins every battle he is close enough to enter.

34 penalty minutes in 82 games is a low rate for a man that size. He is not an agitator and he does not take liberties, which is close to remarkable.

The Intangibles

Fourteenth overall in 2011 and 680 games and 146 points across three organisations in thirteen seasons.

He is 32 and has been in the top four here since the expansion draft. On a blue line whose two best puck-movers are 6-0 and 200 pounds, he is the reason either of them can play the way they do.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • hard-to-movea strength· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand

    “Nobody moves him from anywhere.”

  • clears-the-creasea strength· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “He clears the front of his own net by simply standing in it, he defends the rush with reach rather than with speed, and he wins every battle he is close enough to enter.”

  • defends-with-reacha strength· takes the puck before the contact happens

    “He clears the front of his own net by simply standing in it, he defends the rush with reach rather than with speed, and he wins every battle he is close enough to enter.”

  • takes-libertieshe lacks it· crosses the line and knows where it is

    “He is not an agitator and he does not take liberties, which is close to remarkable.”

  • transitionhe lacks it· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “under a heavy forecheck he chips it out rather than making a play, and the club's exits get worse when he is the one making them.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,250 minutes

Expected goals
46.6%
24th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
46.1%
19th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 42 for, 55 against. Expected: 44.0 and 50.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
25th
Numbers
24th

The two rank him within 1 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 68 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 82 games

Top speed
21.7 mph
53rd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.35 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.57 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
97.2 mph
87th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 89.7

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1250 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
SEA took 47.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 46.6% — 0.6 below the club he did it on.
The role
First pair, 1,250 minutes at five-on-five — 88th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Brandon Montour48.2%43.1%48.2%
Matty Beniers51.8%44.5%48.6%
Jaden Schwartz50.5%45.0%45.8%

48.2% together, 43.1% for him apart and 48.2% for Montour apart. He was worse away from Montour, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Montour did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

111 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 4 of them goals. His median goal came from 52 feet. 7% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 76% from beyond forty.