Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

17

Jaden Schwartz

Seattle Kraken Center

26 goals and six game-winners at 32, with 46 per cent of his shot attempts from inside 20 feet.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2011-12STL7213+10101633.311:41
2012-13STL457613-440015014.012:28
2013-14STL80253156+282753118813.317:32
2014-15STL75283563+131680418415.218:15
2015-16STL3381422+881016312.717:12
2016-17STL78193655+141830417910.618:54
2017-18STL62243559+152661315715.319:24
2018-19STL69112536-6162011836.018:08
2019-20STL71223557+31890416213.618:11
2020-21STL4081321+2201017111.317:42
2021-22SEA3781523-13141001017.918:27
2022-23SEA71211940-172260216712.617:25
2023-24SEA62131730-152470011711.116:22
2024-25SEA81262349-62460619413.417:53
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—811222305527+2323756429182212.217:37

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

26 goals and 23 assists in 81 games — 49 points at 17:53 a night, with 6 power-play goals and 6 game-winning goals, on 194 shots.

47.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 28th percentile. His ice went 49-55 against an expectation of 42.95-48.14 — eight fewer goals conceded than the chances predicted, on a line that was being outshot.

The Finesse Game

194 attempts at a median of 21 feet with 46 per cent from inside 20, converting at 13.4 per cent. Twenty-six goals at 32 from a player who has never been fast is entirely a matter of where he shoots from.

23 assists. The passing is honest and the hockey sense is the thing that has lasted — he arrives in the slot without the puck and he is very hard to account for on a line that has a carrier.

The Physical Game

5-10 and 185 and he plays a heavy game for the size. He goes into the corners, he takes the punishment in front of the net that comes with a 21-foot median shot, and he forechecks first.

24 penalty minutes in 81 games. He is not an agitator and he does not retaliate; the physicality is entirely about winning the puck.

The Intangibles

Fourteenth overall in 2010 and 811 games and 527 points, most of it in St. Louis, where he won a Stanley Cup in 2019 and scored 12 goals in the playoffs that year.

He is 33 and was named captain of this club in 2024. On a roster whose oldest players are its most productive, he is the one who has done it in May.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    81 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “He goes into the corners, he takes the punishment in front of the net that comes with a 21-foot median shot, and he forechecks first.”

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “He goes into the corners, he takes the punishment in front of the net that comes with a 21-foot median shot, and he forechecks first.”

  • wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line

    “He goes into the corners, he takes the punishment in front of the net that comes with a 21-foot median shot, and he forechecks first.”

  • agitatorhe lacks it· gets under the skin; draws the retaliation

    “He is not an agitator and he does not retaliate; the physicality is entirely about winning the puck.”

  • leadershipa strength· the room, and who holds it

    “He is 33 and was named captain of this club in 2024.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,139 minutes

Expected goals
47.1%
27th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.5%
58th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 49 for, 55 against. Expected: 43.0 and 48.1.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
80th
Numbers
27th

The report ranks him 53 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 78 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 81 games

Top speed
22.0 mph
38th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.96 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.81 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
91.3 mph
85th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1139 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
SEA took 47.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.1% — 0.1 below the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,139 minutes at five-on-five — 80th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Matty Beniers50.2%43.1%48.7%
Kaapo Kakko49.6%45.1%46.6%
Brandon Montour50.2%45.1%47.3%

50.2% together, 43.1% for him apart and 48.7% for Beniers apart. He was worse away from Beniers, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Beniers did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

282 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 26 of them goals. His median goal came from 19 feet. 47% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 20% from beyond forty.