Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

13

Yakov Trenin

Nashville Predators Center

Seventeen goals against seven assists from the 41st-most buried chair of 652 skaters, at the 51st-fastest top speed of 365 forwards.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20NSH21246+19000258.09:44
2020-21NSH455611+422000628.111:34
2021-22NSH8017724+74600213612.514:40
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—146241741+127700222310.813:00

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

80 games, 17 goals and 7 assists at 14:40 a night, plus-7, forty-six penalty minutes, 136 shots. Fifty-fifth overall in 2015, three seasons, 146 games, 41 points.

Seventeen goals is more than double the seven he had scored across his first two seasons, and the seven assists beside them are the strangest line on this roster.

The Finesse Game

Seventeen goals and seven assists. A forward who scores more than twice as often as he sets one up is describing a shooting season and a passing problem at once.

1.40 even-strength points per 60 is the 27th percentile and none of his points came on the power play — he takes eleven seconds of it a night.

6.95 shots per 60 is the 45th percentile at 12.5 per cent, forty-seven per cent from the slot at a 26-foot median. Nothing extreme in any direction.

49.6 per cent of the expected goals and 49.9 per cent of the attempts — level shares, out of 34.7 per cent offensive-zone starts, the 41st-lowest of the 652 skaters who took two hundred end-zone starts. That is a deeply buried assignment and level is a good result from it.

His ice went 33-27 against an expectation of 37.36-37.98 — four goals short going forward and eleven fewer against than the model asked.

The Physical Game

9.77 hits per 60 is the 47th-most of 393 forwards and 1.89 takeaways per 60 the 68th percentile, from the 41st-most buried zone-start assignment in the league.

1.69 blocks per 60 is the 49th percentile, and 0.92 penalties drawn against 0.87 taken is level. Forty-six penalty minutes in eighty games, which on this club is restraint.

The Intangibles

23.1 mph is the 51st-fastest of the 365 forwards the tracking covers, at 6.4 bursts per 60 in the 64th percentile and 9.75 miles per 60 in the 59th. He is genuinely quick and works an ordinary amount, which is a better combination than most of this roster offers.

He is 25 with 146 NHL games. The speed, the hits and the takeaway rate are a real third-line identity; seventeen goals from a man with seven assists is not one. The chair he was given is the hardest on the club and he held it level, and that is the part of the file worth keeping.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    80 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best

    35% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 8th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “9.77 hits per 60 is the 47th-most of 393 forwards and 1.89 takeaways per 60 the 68th percentile, from the 41st-most buried zone-start assignment in the league.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 1,032 minutes

Expected goals
49.6%
54th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49.9%
55th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 33 for, 27 against. Expected: 37.4 and 38.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
63rd
Numbers
54th

The two rank him within 9 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 63 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 80 games

Top speed
23.1 mph
91st pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
1.57 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.38 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
91.1 mph
71st pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.1

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 1032 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
NSH took 49.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.6% — level with the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 1,032 minutes at five-on-five — 66th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Colton Sissons48.5%52.8%51.3%
Tanner Jeannot51.6%44.1%42.3%
Roman Josi54.4%46.4%50.4%

48.5% together, 52.8% for him apart and 51.3% for Sissons apart. He was better away from Sissons, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Sissons.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

190 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 17 of them goals. His median goal came from 14 feet. 39% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 20% from beyond forty.