Armchair Hockey Scout

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2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

10

Colton Sissons

Nashville Predators Center

More short-handed ice time than any of the 393 qualified forwards in the league, and the 11th-lowest shot rate among them.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2013-14NSH1713404000137.710:37
2015-16NSH34426+5120002516.09:58
2016-17NSH588210+11120114219.111:07
2017-18NSH8191827+2421041207.516:06
2018-19NSH75151530+202310311113.516:03
2019-20NSH579615-2200125217.314:20
2020-21NSH548715+2180105813.814:21
2021-22NSH7972128+230100878.116:10
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—4556174135+40161331050812.014:23

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

79 games, 7 goals and 21 assists at 16:10 a night, plus-2, thirty penalty minutes, 87 shots. Fiftieth overall in 2012, eight seasons, 455 games, 135 points — all of them here.

The Finesse Game

2:55 short-handed a night is the most of the 393 forwards who played forty games — nobody in the league killed more.

4.09 shots per 60 is the 11th-lowest of the 393 and 0.89 takeaways per 60 the 25th-lowest. Neither figure is a criticism on its own; together they describe a man whose job has nothing to do with the puck.

1.42 even-strength points per 60 is the 28th percentile and fourteen per cent of his points came on the power play, where he takes twenty-six seconds a night.

Fifty-two per cent of his shots came from the slot at a 24-foot median — ordinary locations at almost no volume, converting at 8.0 per cent.

49.1 per cent of the expected goals and 49.4 per cent of the attempts from 35.4 per cent offensive-zone starts, the 46th-lowest of the 652 skaters who took two hundred end-zone starts. That is one of the forty or so hardest assignments in hockey and he came out level. His ice went 32-36 against an expectation of 35.34-36.62.

He and Tanner Jeannot took 49.8 per cent of the attempts together across 1,328 — the pair better than either apart, on a line whose whole purpose is the other end.

The Physical Game

8.83 hits per 60 is the 61st-most of the 393 forwards, at 6-1 and 200 pounds in sixteen minutes a night. 2.07 blocks per 60 is the 69th percentile.

0.33 penalties drawn per 60 is the 6th percentile. Against 0.70 taken the net is the 48th-worst of 393, and thirty penalty minutes across seventy-nine games is the cost.

The Intangibles

22.3 mph is the 42nd percentile, 3.2 bursts per 60 the 87th of 365 forwards, 9.16 miles per 60 the 52nd-fewest. Slow, rarely sprinting, covering little ground — none of which is what the job description would predict.

He is 28 and has played 455 games for one club. The league’s heaviest penalty-killing forward, on the league’s busiest penalty kill, starting more than a third of his shifts in his own end and finishing level. Twenty-eight points is the whole of what that costs.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    79 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best

    35% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 9th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “2:55 short-handed a night is the most of the 393 forwards who played forty games — nobody in the league killed more.”

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “8.83 hits per 60 is the 61st-most of the 393 forwards, at 6-1 and 200 pounds in sixteen minutes a night.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 1,008 minutes

Expected goals
49.1%
49th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49.4%
49th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 32 for, 36 against. Expected: 35.3 and 36.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
48th
Numbers
49th

The two rank him within 1 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 60 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 79 games

Top speed
22.3 mph
58th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
0.87 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.47 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
89.5 mph
63rd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.1

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 1008 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
NSH took 49.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.1% — 0.5 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 1,008 minutes at five-on-five — 62nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Tanner Jeannot49.8%46.6%47.2%
Yakov Trenin48.5%51.3%52.8%
Roman Josi54.1%45.5%50.5%

49.8% together, 46.6% for him apart and 47.2% for Jeannot apart. He was worse away from Jeannot, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Jeannot did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

130 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 7 of them goals. His median goal came from 22 feet. 39% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 23% from beyond forty.