This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Yakov Trenin
Nashville Predators Center
His ice scored twenty-three goals against an expectation of thirty-six — the worst offensive shortfall on the club.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-20 | NSH | 21 | 2 | 4 | 6 | +1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 8.0 | 9:44 |
| 2020-21 | NSH | 45 | 5 | 6 | 11 | +4 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 8.1 | 11:34 |
| 2021-22 | NSH | 80 | 17 | 7 | 24 | +7 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 136 | 12.5 | 14:40 |
| 2022-23 | NSH | 77 | 12 | 12 | 24 | -7 | 47 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 140 | 8.6 | 15:09 |
| 2023-24 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 223 | 36 | 29 | 65 | +5 | 124 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 363 | 9.9 | 13:45 |
This Season So Far
The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
12 goals and 12 assists in 77 games — 24 points — with two shorthanded goals and 47 penalty minutes. Minus-7, 15:09 a night, 140 shots at 8.6 per cent.
45.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 26th percentile, with his ice at 23-39 against an expectation of 35.63-42.11 — thirteen goals short at the offensive end, the worst shortfall on the club.
He started 37.6 per cent of his shifts in the attacking zone, the 9th percentile, which is the second-hardest forward share on the roster.
Four seasons, 223 games, 65 points, all of them in Nashville.
The Finesse Game
140 shots at a median of 26 feet, 34 per cent from inside twenty and 22 per cent from beyond forty.
Beyond forty: 32 shots on goal, 1 goal. Inside forty: 103 shots, 11 goals, 10.68 per cent.
One hundred and forty shots from fifteen minutes a night is a high rate for a checking forward, and 8.6 per cent is what it returned. He shot 12.5 per cent the season before on 136 shots; the honest baseline is somewhere between the two.
86.2 mph at the 16th percentile, on two slap shots.
The Physical Game
6-2 and 201, and 47 penalty minutes in 77 games.
Top speed 21.9 mph, the 31st percentile; bursts 1.3 a game, the 67th; 2.43 miles a game, the 38th.
He forechecks the first man, finishes every check and fights when it is required, and the 47 penalty minutes are the arithmetic of doing that from the 9th percentile of zone starts.
The two shorthanded goals came from pressure rather than speed. Nashville’s penalty kill finished twenty-sixth in the league and still produced nine shorthanded goals, of which his two and Jankowski’s three were the bulk.
The Intangibles
Fifty-fifth overall in 2015 to Nashville out of Gatineau, and never anywhere else.
He is twenty-six, plays fifteen minutes of hard shifts, and the thirteen-goal offensive shortfall on his ice belongs mostly to the club: Nashville finished twenty-seventh in goals scored and twenty-seventh in finishing.
What he is worth is a third line and a penalty kill. What he is not is a scorer, and 24 points from 140 shots is the evidence.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
“He forechecks the first man, finishes every check and fights when it is required, and the 47 penalty minutes are the arithmetic of doing that from the 9th percentile of zone starts.”
“He forechecks the first man, finishes every check and fights when it is required, and the 47 penalty minutes are the arithmetic of doing that from the 9th percentile of zone starts.”
“The two shorthanded goals came from pressure rather than speed.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 961 minutes
- Expected goals
- 45.8%
- 26th pct
- Shot attempts
- 47.1%
- 30th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 23 for, 39 against. Expected: 35.6 and 42.1.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe report ranks him 32 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 638 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 67 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2022-23 · 77 games
- Top speed
- 21.9 mph
- 40th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 1.30 a game
- Distance
- 2.43 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 86.2 mph
- 42nd pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.9
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2022-23 · 961 minutes at five-on-five
- Cole Smith22%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2022-23
- The club
- NSH took 47.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 45.8% — 1.2 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- First line, 961 minutes at five-on-five — 55th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colton Sissons | 40.0% | 51.2% | 47.8% |
| Tanner Jeannot | 49.1% | 43.2% | 47.5% |
| Ryan McDonagh | 39.8% | 49.3% | 47.0% |
40.0% together, 51.2% for him apart and 47.8% for Sissons apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
200 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 12 of them goals. His median goal came from 18 feet. 34% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 22% from beyond forty.