Armchair Hockey Scout

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2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

16

Vincent Trocheck

New York Rangers Center

A 55.1 per cent attempt share that belongs to Carolina, with the 82nd-percentile penalties drawn and the 87th taken.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2013-14FLA20538-1161103813.218:53
2014-15FLA5071522+924100897.914:00
2015-16FLA76252853+154441417414.417:46
2016-17FLA82233154-134320223010.020:50
2017-18FLA82314475-954133528710.821:22
2018-19FLA55102434-9543111586.319:40
2019-20FLA/CAR62112738-8491121417.816:44
2020-21CAR47172643-32070212313.818:14
2021-22CAR81213051+217860316812.517:52
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—555150228378-837238719140810.718:35

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

81 games for Carolina, 21 goals and 30 assists for 51 points at 17:52 a night, plus-21, seventy-eight penalty minutes, 168 shots. Sixty-fourth overall in 2011 by Florida, nine seasons, 555 games, 378 points.

The Finesse Game

2.18 even-strength points per 60 is the 71st percentile and twenty-four per cent of his points came on the power play.

6.96 shots per 60 is the 45th percentile at 12.5 per cent, with sixty-three per cent from the slot at a 20-foot median — the 89th and 21st percentiles. Good volume, good places, an ordinary rate.

2.07 takeaways per 60 is the 78th percentile against 1.74 giveaways.

54.2 per cent of the expected goals is the 79th percentile and 55.1 per cent of the attempts the 86th. Those are strong figures and the qualifier is immediate: Carolina finished 2nd in the league in attempt share and 3rd in chances, and New York finished 24th and 25th.

His ice went 48-29 against an expectation of 50.82-42.90 — three goals short going forward and fourteen fewer against than the model asked, on a club whose goaltending rated 4th.

He is moving from the second-best possession club in hockey to a club that finished 110 points on the strength of its goaltender. The share will fall and the report expects most of the fall to be the move.

The Physical Game

7.67 hits per 60 is the 80th percentile at 5-11 and 187 pounds — well above what the size predicts.

1.16 penalties drawn per 60 is the 82nd percentile among forwards and 1.33 taken the 87th, and seventy-eight penalty minutes came out of eighty-one games at 5-11.

The Intangibles

1:46 short-handed a night is the 84th percentile among forwards, alongside 2:53 on the power play.

23.0 mph is the 81st percentile, 8.0 bursts per 60 the 76th, 9.73 miles per 60 the 57th. Genuinely quick and sprinting often, at 29.

He is 29 and joins a club whose two centres ahead of him are Mika Zibanejad and Filip Chytil. The special-teams workload at both ends, the hit rate at 187 pounds and the slot share are what travels; the 55.1 per cent does not.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • clutch· scored his goals when the game was still live

    4 of his 21 goals late or in overtime, 92nd percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure barely repeats (0.06) · 10% keep it

  • durable· was available

    81 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • agitatora strength· gets under the skin; draws the retaliation

    “1.16 penalties drawn per 60 is the 82nd percentile among forwards and 1.33 taken the 87th, and seventy-eight penalty minutes came out of eighty-one games at 5-11.”

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “1:46 short-handed a night is the 84th percentile among forwards, alongside 2:53 on the power play.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 1,012 minutes

Expected goals
54.2%
83rd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
55.1%
88th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 48 for, 29 against. Expected: 50.8 and 42.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
87th
Numbers
83rd

The two rank him within 4 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 81 games

Top speed
23.0 mph
88th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
2.37 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.90 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
93.8 mph
85th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.1

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 with CAR · 1012 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
CAR took 55.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.2% — 1.0 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 1,012 minutes at five-on-five — 63rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Martin Necas50.3%57.9%50.4%
Andrei Svechnikov56.5%52.0%55.5%
Jaccob Slavin55.8%53.4%57.8%

50.3% together, 57.9% for him apart and 50.4% for Necas apart. He was better away from Necas, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Necas.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

254 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 21 of them goals. His median goal came from 11 feet. 49% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 12% from beyond forty.