This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Yakov Trenin

15 points, a 46.1 per cent chance share, and 54 penalty minutes in twelve minutes a night.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2019-20	NSH	21	2	4	6	+1	9	0	0	0	25	8.0	9:44
2020-21	NSH	45	5	6	11	+4	22	0	0	0	62	8.1	11:34
2021-22	NSH	80	17	7	24	+7	46	0	0	2	136	12.5	14:40
2022-23	NSH	77	12	12	24	-7	47	0	2	2	140	8.6	15:09
2023-24	NSH/COL	76	12	5	17	+15	40	0	0	3	116	10.3	14:35
2024-25	MIN	76	7	8	15	-1	54	0	2	2	85	8.2	12:31
2025-26 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	375	55	42	97	+19	218	0	4	9	564	9.8	13:40

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

7 goals and 8 assists in 76 games for 15 points, minus-1, on 12:31 a night with 2 shorthanded goals and 54 penalty minutes.

46.3 per cent at five-on-five, the 21st percentile — the worst share among the club’s regular forwards. His on-ice goals were 25-30 against an expected 27-31.

The Finesse Game

Very little. 85 shots in 76 games and 7 goals at 8.2 per cent, and 8 assists — there is no offensive game and there never has been beyond one 17-goal season.

He gets the puck deep and forechecks. That is the contribution.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 201, and he plays a hard, heavy game. He hits, he blocks shots, and he is trusted shorthanded — 2 shorthanded goals is a genuine skill.

54 penalty minutes over 76 games is a high rate for the ice time, and on a club with a 22nd-ranked kill that is worth interrogating.

The Intangibles

A second-round pick, two organisations, and a career built on being difficult and reliable.

At 29 the projection is a fourth-line winger who kills penalties and scores 15 points. The contract was signed for more than that and the 19th-percentile share says so.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck
“He gets the puck deep and forechecks. That is the contribution.”
punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally
“6-2 and 201, and he plays a hard, heavy game.”
shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it
“He hits, he blocks shots, and he is trusted shorthanded — 2 shorthanded goals is a genuine skill.”
penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short
“He hits, he blocks shots, and he is trusted shorthanded — 2 shorthanded goals is a genuine skill.”
nastya strength· hard to play against; the edge is the point
“54 penalty minutes over 76 games is a high rate for the ice time”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 830 minutes

Expected goals: 46.3%; 22nd pct
Shot attempts: 45.8%; 16th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 25 for, 30 against. Expected: 26.9 and 31.2.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

36th

Numbers

22nd

The two rank him within 14 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 76 games

Top speed: 22.8 mph; 74th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 1.70 a game
Distance: 2.08 miles a game
Hardest shot: 87.7 mph; 64th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 830 minutes at five-on-five

Freddy Gaudreaunow SEA40%
Marcus Foligno38%
Devin Shoreoff the roster20%

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club: MIN took 49.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 46.3% — 2.8 below the club he did it on.
The role: Second line, 830 minutes at five-on-five — 39th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Frederick Gaudreau	44.9%	47.2%	43.9%
Marcus Foligno	53.7%	42.1%	52.5%
Zach Bogosian	47.9%	45.4%	47.3%

44.9% together, 47.2% for him apart and 43.9% for Gaudreau apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

140 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 6 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 39% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 25% from beyond forty.