This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2025-26 report →
Walker Duehr
Calgary Flames Right Wing
Undrafted, seven goals in twenty-seven games, and no evidence that it means anything.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-22 | CGY | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 8:47 |
| 2022-23 | CGY | 27 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 47 | 14.9 | 10:12 |
| 2023-24 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 28 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 47 | 14.9 | 10:09 |
This Season So Far
The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
7 goals and 4 assists in 27 games — 11 points at 10:12 a night, even, with 2 game-winners on 47 shots, converting at 14.89 per cent, and 4 penalty minutes.
54.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 271 minutes, the 83rd percentile. Two hundred and seventy-one minutes on a club where everybody was above 50 is not evidence of anything, and the honest note is that seven goals on 47 shots is a rate no fourth-line winger sustains.
The Finesse Game
47 attempts at a median of 29 feet, 25 per cent from inside 20 and 23 per cent from beyond 40, off an 86.1 mph shot at the 16th percentile.
11 points in 28 career games. There is nothing here to grade with any confidence, and the grades below are a reading of an American League record and a very short NHL one.
The Physical Game
6-2 and 210 and he forechecks willingly — 4 penalty minutes in 27 games says he does it cleanly.
1.8 bursts over twenty miles an hour a game is the 82nd percentile, on 1.72 miles at the 5th, which is a ten-minute role spent sprinting at the first man back. That is a fourth-line forechecker’s shift and it is a real, if narrow, NHL skill.
The Intangibles
Undrafted, out of Minnesota State, and he signed here after four years of college and two in the minors.
He is 25. Twenty-seven games is a look rather than a career, and the useful thing to say is that the club liked what it saw enough to keep him — on a roster with this little forward depth, that is worth more than the seven goals.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
“Undrafted, out of Minnesota State”
“which is a ten-minute role spent sprinting at the first man back”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 271 minutes
- Expected goals
- 54.4%
- 84th pct
- Shot attempts
- 57.6%
- 95th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 14 for, 14 against. Expected: 12.5 and 10.5.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe numbers rank him 59 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 99 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 57 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2022-23 · 271 minutes at five-on-five
- Trevor Lewisnow LAK77%
- Adam Ruzicka16%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2022-23
- The club
- CGY took 55.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.4% — 0.8 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- Fourth line, 271 minutes at five-on-five — 4th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Milan Lucic | 53.8% | 55.8% | 47.7% |
| Noah Hanifin | 54.3% | 54.5% | 54.6% |
| Rasmus Andersson | 48.0% | 57.4% | 53.3% |
53.8% together, 55.8% for him apart and 47.7% for Lucic apart. Lucic was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Lucic than for him.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
60 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 7 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 25% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 23% from beyond forty.