This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2025-26 report →

Walker Duehr

Undrafted, six foot two, and seven goals for on his ice against twenty-one.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2021-22	CGY	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	8:47
2022-23	CGY	27	7	4	11	0	4	0	0	2	47	14.9	10:12
2023-24	CGY	40	2	5	7	-3	6	0	0	0	29	6.9	8:07
2024-25 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	68	9	9	18	-3	10	0	0	2	76	11.8	8:57

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

2 goals and 5 assists in 40 games — 7 points at 8:07 a night, minus-3, on 29 shots at 6.9 per cent, and 6 penalty minutes.

48.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 322 minutes, the 39th percentile. His ice went 13-15 against an expectation of 12.67-13.67 — five goals of scoring missing and six conceded above expectation, in three hundred minutes.

The Finesse Game

29 attempts at a median of 24 feet, with 39 per cent from inside 20 and 27 per cent from beyond 40, converting at 6.9 per cent. Nine goals in 68 NHL games.

5 assists. He does not create and the puck does not stay on his stick — the job is to arrive first and put it behind the defence.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 210. He forechecks first and he finishes his checks, which is the whole of what a fourth-line winger at eight minutes a night is asked to do.

6 penalty minutes in 40 games and 10 in 68 for his career is a genuinely low rate for a forward who plays this way, and it is worth naming on a club that spent the sixth-fewest minutes shorthanded in hockey.

The Intangibles

Undrafted, out of Sioux Falls and Minnesota State, and 68 NHL games at 26 after four seasons in the American league.

An undrafted forward who reaches sixty-eight NHL games has beaten the odds, and the fifteenth percentile of chances says he is a thirteenth forward rather than a fourth-liner.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

disciplined· stays out of the box
0.15 penalty minutes a game over 40, 8th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it
undrafteda strength· arrived without a pick attached
“**Undrafted**, out of Sioux Falls and Minnesota State, and **68 NHL games at 26** after four seasons in the American league.”
forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck
“**He forechecks first and he finishes his checks**, which is the whole of what a fourth-line winger at eight minutes a night is asked to do.”
punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally
“**He forechecks first and he finishes his checks**, which is the whole of what a fourth-line winger at eight minutes a night is asked to do.”
playmakerhe lacks it· passes up the shot a scorer takes
“5 assists. **He does not create and the puck does not stay on his stick** — the job is to arrive first and put it behind the defence.”
fouls-when-beatenhe lacks it· the stick foul that follows losing a step
“**6 penalty minutes in 40 games and 10 in 68 for his career** is a genuinely low rate for a forward who plays this way, and it is worth naming on a club that spent the sixth-fewest minutes shorthanded in hockey.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 322 minutes

Expected goals: 48.1%; 39th pct
Shot attempts: 45.3%; 18th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 13 for, 15 against. Expected: 12.7 and 13.7.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

8th

Numbers

39th

The numbers rank him 31 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 57 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 40 games

Top speed: 22.6 mph; 72nd pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 1.48 a game
Distance: 1.37 miles a game
Hardest shot: 97.1 mph; 96th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 322 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club: CGY took 49.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.1% — 1.8 below the club he did it on.
The role: 322 minutes at five-on-five — 7th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
A.J. Greer	45.6%	50.1%	49.1%
Kevin Rooney	49.4%	47.3%	43.6%
MacKenzie Weegar	45.6%	49.3%	50.9%

45.6% together, 50.1% for him apart and 49.1% for Greer apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

49 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 20 feet. 39% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 27% from beyond forty.