Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

24

Vinnie Hinostroza

Minnesota Wild Center

10 points in 38 games, and a thirteenth forward with an NHL career in its eleventh year.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16CHI7000-1600060.08:41
2016-17CHI496814-117002767.911:59
2017-18CHI5071825+510101868.113:49
2018-19ARI72162339-41430315210.515:16
2019-20ARI6851722+1140001323.813:06
2020-21FLA/CHI264812080003312.112:16
2021-22BUF62131225-11241029214.113:52
2022-23BUF262911-16001385.312:36
2023-24PIT14123-34000273.79:45
2024-25NSH/MIN385510+2103014810.413:01
2025-26 so far
Career41259102161-1311380106908.613:16

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

5 goals and 5 assists in 38 games for 10 points, plus-2, on 13:01 a night.

51.1 per cent at five-on-five, the 63rd percentile, over 443 minutes. His on-ice goals were 11-23 against an expected 17.7-17.0, which is 12 goals of bad luck in a small sample.

The Finesse Game

Quick and honest and short of finish. 48 shots in 38 games and 5 goals, and 5 assists — the offensive ceiling was reached some years ago.

The skating is genuinely good and it is why he keeps getting NHL work at 31.

The Physical Game

5-10 and 183, and light. He forechecks at speed and does not win many pucks when he arrives.

10 penalty minutes over 38 games. Disciplined.

The Intangibles

A sixth-round pick, six organisations, and a decade of moving between the leagues.

The projection is a thirteenth forward and an American League recall. That is the job and he does it without complaint.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 443 minutes

Expected goals
51.1%
63rd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49.8%
50th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 11 for, 23 against. Expected: 17.7 and 17.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
36th
Numbers
63rd

The numbers rank him 27 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 357 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 295 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
MIN took 49.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.1% — 2.0 above the club he did it on.
The role
443 minutes at five-on-five — 13th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Ryan Hartman51.4%51.0%49.6%
Gustav Nyquist54.9%49.0%50.0%
Jake Middleton45.3%53.1%47.3%

51.4% together, 51.0% for him apart and 49.6% for Hartman apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

80 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 5 of them goals. His median goal came from 11 feet. 41% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 25% from beyond forty.