Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

14

Gustav Nyquist

Winnipeg Jets Right Wing

Eight hundred and sixty-three games, 75 points two seasons ago, and 28 points and a minus-24 last year.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2011-12DET18167+22000195.310:36
2012-13DET2233606000466.513:02
2013-14DET57282048+161060615318.316:51
2014-15DET82272754-1126140419513.916:39
2015-16DET82172643-23470316110.615:10
2016-17DET761236480182021657.317:26
2017-18DET82211940-2203022139.917:51
2018-19DET/SJS81223860+11220320410.817:31
2019-20CBJ70152742+4163131519.918:02
2021-22CBJ82183553-122644012214.817:50
2022-23CBJ/MIN51111627-91602210210.817:37
2023-24NSH81235275+7851415315.017:45
2024-25NSH/MIN79111728-241621010310.716:51
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—863209322531-3021048929178711.716:58

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

11 goals and 17 assists in 79 games across Nashville and Minnesota — 28 points at 16:51 a night, minus-24, with 2 power-play goals, a shorthanded goal and 16 penalty minutes on 103 shots.

Two seasons earlier he had 75 points. Nashville was 31st in the league in goals for and a great deal of that minus-24 belongs to the club rather than the player, but 28 points at 35 after 75 at 34 is a fall that no context erases.

The Finesse Game

103 attempts and 11 goals at 10.7 per cent, down from 23 goals the season before.

The passing has always been the best thing about him — 322 assists in 863 games, and 52 of them in one season at 34. He holds the puck on the half wall and finds the seam, and that skill degrades later than skating does.

The Physical Game

5-11 and 180 and he has never played a physical game. He does not forecheck with force and he does not win pucks against defencemen.

210 penalty minutes in 863 career games is among the lowest rates of any long-serving forward in the league. He does not foul and he kills penalties.

The Intangibles

A fourth-round pick of Detroit in 2008 — 121st overall — out of Maine, and 863 games and 531 points across six organisations in thirteen seasons.

He is 36. Winnipeg signed him in the summer to replace Nikolaj Ehlers, which is a 36-year-old off a 28-point season standing in for a 29-year-old who scored 24 goals.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    79 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “**The passing has always been the best thing about him** — 322 assists in 863 games, and 52 of them in one season at 34. He holds the puck on the half wall and finds the seam, and that skill degrades later than skating does.”

  • forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck

    “He does not forecheck with force and he does not win pucks against defencemen.”

  • wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line

    “He does not forecheck with force and he does not win pucks against defencemen.”

  • fouls-when-beatena strength· the stick foul that follows losing a step

    “**210 penalty minutes in 863 career games** is among the lowest rates of any long-serving forward in the league. He does not foul and he kills penalties.”

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “He does not foul and he kills penalties.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,025 minutes

Expected goals
50.3%
56th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
52.1%
74th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 25 for, 43 against. Expected: 41.7 and 41.2.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
49th
Numbers
56th

The two rank him within 7 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 72 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 79 games

Top speed
21.9 mph
34th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.70 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.63 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
81.8 mph
27th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 with NSH · 785 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
MIN took 49.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.3% — 1.2 above the club he did it on.
The role
1,025 minutes at five-on-five — 64th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Ryan O'Reilly53.1%47.9%47.9%
Roman Josi50.4%50.3%51.1%
Brady Skjei51.2%49.8%45.5%

53.1% together, 47.9% for him apart and 47.9% for O'Reilly apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

162 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 11 of them goals. His median goal came from 25 feet. 42% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 17% from beyond forty.