Armchair Hockey Scout

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2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

24

Vinnie Hinostroza

Buffalo Sabres Center

Ten and a half miles per sixty at the 97th percentile from a 5-10 winger, and 13 goals in 62 games at 14.1 per cent.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16CHI7000-1600060.08:41
2016-17CHI496814-117002767.911:59
2017-18CHI5071825+510101868.113:49
2018-19ARI72162339-41430315210.515:16
2019-20ARI6851722+1140001323.813:06
2020-21FLA/CHI264812080003312.112:16
2021-22BUF62131225-11241029214.113:52
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—3345186137-11935085778.813:30

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

13 goals and 12 assists in 62 games — 25 points at 13:52 a night, minus-11, with 1 power-play goal on 92 shots and 24 penalty minutes.

Thirteen goals from a thirteenth forward’s ice time, at 14.1 per cent conversion — the 74th percentile.

46.5 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 823 minutes, the 26th percentile. His ice went 29-40 against an expectation of 28.4-32.73 — the scoring landed where the chances said and seven more went in behind him than they predicted.

The Finesse Game

92 attempts at a median of 32 feet — the 93rd percentile for distance — with 43 per cent from inside the slot, off an 85.0 mph release at the 16th percentile. A soft shot from the middle distance is not a repeatable way to score thirteen goals, and 51 in 334 career games is the more honest rate.

1.75 even-strength points per 60 is the 47th percentile. He is a fourth-line winger who had a good year.

The Physical Game

5-10 and 183, and 1.74 hits per 60 at the 16th percentile with 0.91 blocks at the 11th. He is small and he does not play through anybody.

The engine is the exception. 10.42 miles per sixty is the 97th percentile among the league’s forwards, 9.8 bursts above 20 mph per 60 is the 87th percentile and he never stops moving his feet, at a 23.0 mph top speed, the 81st.

On a fourth line, that is exactly the right asset: he is the man who arrives on a dump-in first and makes a defenceman turn.

The Intangibles

One hundred and sixty-ninth overall in 2012 by Chicago, and 334 games across Chicago, Arizona, Florida and Buffalo.

He is 28, signed for a year. A quick undersized forechecker who scored 13 on a fourth line is a perfectly good thing for a rebuilding club to carry, and the reason his name is worth remembering is the ground he covers rather than the goals.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in

    34.5% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 97th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “9.8 bursts above 20 mph per 60 is the 87th percentile and he never stops moving his feet”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 823 minutes

Expected goals
46.5%
27th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49.7%
52nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 29 for, 40 against. Expected: 28.4 and 32.7.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
33rd
Numbers
27th

The two rank him within 6 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 57 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 62 games

Top speed
23.0 mph
87th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
2.26 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.41 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
85.0 mph
39th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.1

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 823 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
BUF took 46.3% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 46.5% — 0.2 above the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 823 minutes at five-on-five — 43rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Dylan Cozens46.5%46.5%48.6%
Rasmus Dahlin44.7%47.4%46.7%
Mark Pysyk39.9%49.0%44.6%

46.5% together, 46.5% for him apart and 48.6% for Cozens apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

119 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 13 of them goals. His median goal came from 19 feet. 32% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 34% from beyond forty.