Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

17

Marcus Foligno

Minnesota Wild Left Wing

14 goals on a 15.4 per cent rate, 75 penalty minutes, and 54 per cent of his shots from inside 20 feet.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2011-12BUF146713+692012326.115:49
2012-13BUF4751318-441100559.113:38
2013-14BUF7471219-1782013798.915:04
2014-15BUF5781220-5500006612.116:14
2015-16BUF75101323+4790228112.313:11
2016-17BUF80131023-1730109713.415:28
2017-18MIN7781523+2721027910.110:52
2018-19MIN8271219-155000917.711:58
2019-20MIN59111425+8300008612.814:35
2020-21MIN39111526+19490124027.514:58
2021-22MIN74231942+251125039823.516:24
2022-23MIN6571421-697000838.414:59
2023-24MIN55101222+10590035617.914:29
2024-25MIN77141529+7750019115.414:29
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—875140183323+478839517102513.714:16

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

14 goals and 15 assists in 77 games for 29 points, plus-7, on 14:29 a night with 75 penalty minutes.

52.9 per cent at five-on-five, the 77th percentile. 54 per cent of his shots came from inside 20 feet at a median of 19, and 15.4 per cent conversion on 91 attempts is a career-high rate.

The Finesse Game

Limited and directed exactly where it should be. 91 shots in 77 games is a low volume and all of it comes from the net front and the inside lane.

15 assists is honest. Everything he produces comes from being difficult to move from a place where goals happen.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 226, and among the most feared forwards in the league to play against. He hits, he fights, and he is genuinely difficult below the goal line.

75 penalty minutes over 77 games is a high rate and on a club with the 21st penalty kill it is a measurable cost. The body has been reliable, which for a man who plays this way at 34 is unusual.

The Intangibles

A fourth-round pick, fifteen seasons, and a decade here as the man who answers for everybody else.

At 34 the projection is 20 points and the same willingness. The 15.4 per cent rate is a career high and will fall; nothing else about him will change.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • nastya strength· hard to play against; the edge is the point

    “among the most feared forwards in the league to play against”

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He hits, he fights, and he is genuinely difficult below the goal line.”

  • wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line

    “he is genuinely difficult below the goal line”

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “all of it comes from the net front and the inside lane”

  • hard-to-movea strength· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand

    “Everything he produces comes from being difficult to move from a place where goals happen.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 920 minutes

Expected goals
52.9%
77th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
52.1%
74th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 33 for, 29 against. Expected: 32.0 and 28.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
66th
Numbers
77th

The two rank him within 11 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 75 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 77 games

Top speed
22.1 mph
40th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.66 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.16 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
92.0 mph
88th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 920 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
MIN took 49.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.9% — 3.8 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 920 minutes at five-on-five — 49th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Frederick Gaudreau51.3%53.9%40.5%
Ryan Hartman52.6%53.1%48.2%
Yakov Trenin53.7%52.5%42.1%

51.3% together, 53.9% for him apart and 40.5% for Gaudreau apart. Gaudreau was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Gaudreau than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

136 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 13 of them goals. His median goal came from 18 feet. 54% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 21% from beyond forty.