Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Chandler Stephenson

Photo by Pens Through My Lens, CC BY-SA 4.0

Chandler Stephenson

Seattle Kraken Center #9

49 points, minus 24, and the worst chance share in the National Hockey League.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16WSH9000-3200020.07:51
2016-17WSH40000000030.08:53
2017-18WSH6761218+1380003616.711:52
2018-19WSH645611-1300103613.912:07
2019-20WSH/VGK65111526+24161257315.114:19
2020-21VGK51142135+22292158316.918:06
2021-22VGK79214364+52661312516.819:19
2022-23VGK81164965+122661512013.319:01
2023-24VGK75163551-9254249716.518:29
2024-25SEA78133851-9241217317.819:31
2025-26SEA80163349-24146039317.219:23
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—653118252370+1817026102674115.916:56

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

16 goals and 33 assists in 80 games — 49 points, minus-24, at 19:23 a night with 6 power-play goals.

The Finesse Game

A genuinely quick centre with soft hands in tight. 123 unblocked attempts, 16 goals, median 28 feet with 36 per cent from inside 20 — a very good conversion off modest volume.

33 assists is real playmaking, and 370 points in 653 games is a legitimate second-line rate.

The Physical Game

6 foot even, 201, and he is not heavy. 14 penalty minutes in 80 games is one of the lowest rates on the club.

The speed is the tool. He does not use it to forecheck and he does not defend with it.

The Intangibles

This is the page. 38.5 per cent of the expected goals — the nought-th percentile, and the worst mark of any skater in the league who played 1,000 5-on-5 minutes — with 40.3 per cent of the shot attempts, 1st percentile, across 1,120 of them.

The chances underneath were 36.7 for and 58.6 against. That is a 23-goal deficit in expected goals for 1 skater in 1 season, and it is the largest in this book.

He scored 49 points anyway, which is the whole problem: the box score says second-line centre and the ice says the puck lived in his own end for 1,100 minutes.

9 points in his last 10. He is 32, a third-round pick who won a Cup in Vegas, and Seattle is paying for the version that played behind Eichel and Stone. There is no version of the underlying numbers here that can be explained away by usage.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    80 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best

    32% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 7th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,120 minutes

Expected goals
38.5%
1st pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
40.3%
1st pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 35 for, 47 against. Expected: 36.7 and 58.6.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
33rd
Numbers
1st

The report ranks him 32 points above where the numbers do. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 69 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 80 games

Top speed
23.3 mph
91st pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
2.11 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.08 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
85.6 mph
55th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

9

points in his last 10 games — 2 goals, 7 assists, 8 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1120 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
SEA took 46.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 38.5% — 7.5 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 1,120 minutes at five-on-five — 73rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Eeli Tolvanen40.0%36.3%48.4%
Adam Larsson38.2%38.7%48.1%
Vince Dunn38.4%38.6%48.5%

40.0% together, 36.3% for him apart and 48.4% for Tolvanen apart. He was the one being carried: the share went with Tolvanen and did not follow him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

123 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 16 of them goals. His median goal came from 18 feet. 36% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 15% from beyond forty.