This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2025-26 report →
Tyson Jost
Carolina Hurricanes Center
Tenth overall in 2016, four hundred and fifty-six games, and the fourth percentile of chances.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-17 | COL | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11.1 | 15:41 |
| 2017-18 | COL | 65 | 12 | 10 | 22 | -10 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 113 | 10.6 | 14:38 |
| 2018-19 | COL | 70 | 11 | 15 | 26 | -2 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 114 | 9.7 | 13:00 |
| 2019-20 | COL | 67 | 8 | 15 | 23 | +11 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 115 | 7.0 | 12:46 |
| 2020-21 | COL | 54 | 7 | 10 | 17 | +14 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 92 | 7.6 | 14:07 |
| 2021-22 | COL/MIN | 80 | 8 | 12 | 20 | +2 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 97 | 8.3 | 12:50 |
| 2022-23 | MIN/BUF | 71 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -13 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98 | 7.1 | 13:15 |
| 2023-24 | BUF | 43 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 6.3 | 10:36 |
| 2024-25 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 456 | 57 | 83 | 140 | -14 | 164 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 686 | 8.3 | 13:09 |
This Season So Far
The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
3 goals and 3 assists in 43 games for Buffalo — 6 points at 10:36 a night, minus-11, on 48 shots at 6.25 per cent, and 10 penalty minutes.
40.5 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 426 minutes, the 4th percentile — the worst mark of any player on this roster. His ice went 25-19 against an expectation of 14.20-20.84, so the goals were a great deal kinder than the chances were.
The Finesse Game
48 attempts at a median of 29 feet, with 32 per cent from inside 20 and 22 per cent from beyond 40, converting at 6.25 per cent. Fifty-seven goals in 456 career games.
3 assists in 43 games, and 140 points in 456 games across eight seasons. He does not create at NHL level, and the offensive career that a tenth-overall pick implies has not happened at any point.
The Physical Game
5-11 and 187. He forechecks honestly without punishing anybody and he does not win pucks on the wall against size.
10 penalty minutes in 43 games and 164 in 456 for his career is a low rate. He does not agitate and he does not retaliate.
The Intangibles
Tenth overall in 2016 by Colorado, out of Penticton, and 456 NHL games and 140 points at 26 across four clubs.
He was signed here in the summer. A tenth-overall pick with 456 NHL games and 140 points is one of the clearest cautionary lines in this edition, and this club is the fourth to try him — on the theory, which is not a bad one, that its system has made more out of less.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 426 minutes
- Expected goals
- 40.5%
- 4th pct
- Shot attempts
- 44.6%
- 15th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 25 for, 19 against. Expected: 14.2 and 20.8.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe report ranks him 22 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 201 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 58 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2023-24 with BUF · 426 minutes at five-on-five
- Victor Olofssonnow VGK43%
- Zemgus Girgensonsnow TBL27%
- Kyle Okposooff the roster22%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2023-24
- The club
- BUF took 48.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 40.5% — 8.4 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- 426 minutes at five-on-five — 13th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Olofsson | 39.2% | 41.7% | 48.4% |
| Rasmus Dahlin | 48.9% | 35.4% | 51.4% |
| Connor Clifton | 35.1% | 43.0% | 49.0% |
39.2% together, 41.7% for him apart and 48.4% for Olofsson apart. Olofsson was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
65 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 3 of them goals. His median goal came from 29 feet. 32% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 22% from beyond forty.