Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

95

Victor Olofsson

Vegas Golden Knights Right Wing

Twenty-eight career penalty minutes in 314 games, and 35 career power-play goals.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2018-19BUF6224+12200219.518:01
2019-20BUF54202242-16110412715.818:23
2020-21BUF56131932-23670012910.117:24
2021-22BUF72202949-16670616412.215:23
2022-23BUF75281240-23470516117.414:21
2023-24BUF517815-141016610.611:34
2024-25 so far
Career3149092182-63283501666813.515:27

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

51 games with Buffalo, 7 goals and 8 assists for 15 points, 1 on the power play, 4 penalty minutes, 11:34 a night and minus-1, with 1 game-winner. He took 44.0 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 516 minutes, the 15th percentile, and his ice went 20-21 against an expectation of 18.03-22.91.

Two goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and two goals of goaltending above them. Fifteen points in 51 games is his lowest total in any season in which he played more than six games.

The Finesse Game

96 attempts at a median of 33 feet with 27 per cent of them from inside twenty and 32 per cent from beyond forty, 66 of those on goal, converted at 10.6 per cent against a career 13.47 across 668 shots.

Ninety career goals and 35 power-play goals in 314 games. Thirty-five power-play goals in 314 games is the highest rate on this roster; the one-timer from the circle is the whole of the game and a thirty-three-foot median attempt says he never leaves it.

The Physical Game

He is 5-11 and 180 and took 4 penalty minutes.

Twenty-eight career penalty minutes in 314 games. That is the lowest total of anybody in this edition who has played three hundred games, and it comes from a winger who does not go near the wall or the front of the net at either end.

The Intangibles

One hundred and eighty-first overall in 2014 by Buffalo, six seasons, and Vegas will be his second organisation.

A career minus-63 in 314 games. He was a seventh-round pick who scored 20 goals in his first full season, and five seasons in Buffalo have left him with a career minus-63 and 35 power-play goals.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 516 minutes

Expected goals
44%
16th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47%
28th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 20 for, 21 against. Expected: 18.0 and 22.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
57th
Numbers
16th

The report ranks him 41 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 71 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with BUF · 516 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
BUF took 48.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 44.0% — 4.9 below the club he did it on.
The role
516 minutes at five-on-five — 19th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Rasmus Dahlin49.2%41.1%51.6%
Tyson Jost35.0%49.1%41.6%
Connor Clifton39.3%46.3%48.0%

49.2% together, 41.1% for him apart and 51.6% for Dahlin apart. He was worse away from Dahlin, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Dahlin did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

96 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 8 of them goals. His median goal came from 24 feet. 28% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 32% from beyond forty.