Armchair Hockey Scout Beta
17

Tyson Jost

Nashville Predators Center

The 10th pick in 2016, five organisations later, 39 games and 9 points on ten minutes a night.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2016-17COL6101-50000911.115:41
2017-18COL65121022-102650111310.614:38
2018-19COL70111526-2144031149.713:00
2019-20COL6781523+11221001157.012:46
2020-21COL5471017+1424001927.614:07
2021-22COL/MIN8081220+234002978.312:50
2022-23MIN/BUF7171825-1334000987.113:15
2023-24BUF43336-1110000486.310:36
2024-25CAR39459+233000449.110:22
2025-26 so far
Career4956188149-1219710077308.412:56

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

39 games, 4 goals and 5 assists for 9 points at 10:22 a night, on 44 shots at 9.09 per cent. 33 penalty minutes. Plus-2.

A fourth-line season split between the NHL and the American League, which is what the last four years have all looked like.

The Finesse Game

The skating is still genuinely good — it is why he was a first-round pick and it has not gone anywhere. 9.09 per cent on 44 attempts is perfectly fine for the role.

What never arrived is the offensive production the draft position implied. He does not hold the puck under pressure long enough to make a play with it, and the decisions come at the pace of a checking forward rather than a scoring one. That is now settled rather than developing.

The Physical Game

187 pounds, and he forechecks hard and finishes checks.

33 penalty minutes in 39 games at ten minutes a night is a high rate and the wrong kind of number for a fourth-line player on a club that spent 4:51 a game killing penalties.

The Intangibles

The 10th pick in 2016, ahead of several players who became stars, and a career that had settled into a fourth-line job by 25.

He works, he kills penalties, and he is with his fifth organisation at 27. There is nothing left to project and there is a useful player, and telling those two things apart is most of what a scout does.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 325 minutes

Expected goals
53.9%
86th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
60.2%
99th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 17 for, 14 against. Expected: 14.7 and 12.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
2nd
Numbers
86th

The numbers rank him 84 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 357 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 57 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 with CAR · 325 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
CAR took 55.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.9% — 2.0 below the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 325 minutes at five-on-five — 7th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jackson Blake57.5%51.4%60.4%
Sean Walker55.4%52.8%57.6%
Shayne Gostisbehere55.8%52.6%61.2%

57.5% together, 51.4% for him apart and 60.4% for Blake apart. He was worse away from Blake, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Blake did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

60 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 4 of them goals. His median goal came from 15 feet. 43% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 20% from beyond forty.