This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Trent Frederic

Eighteen goals, sixty-nine penalty minutes, and a chance share better than the man on the first line.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2018-19	BOS	15	0	0	0	-4	15	0	0	0	19	0.0	9:24
2019-20	BOS	2	0	0	0	-1	0	0	0	0	1	0.0	6:26
2020-21	BOS	42	4	1	5	-8	65	0	0	3	44	9.1	11:15
2021-22	BOS	60	8	10	18	+10	57	0	0	1	100	8.0	11:39
2022-23	BOS	79	17	14	31	+28	57	0	0	6	120	14.2	11:55
2023-24	BOS	82	18	22	40	+9	69	2	0	1	123	14.6	13:45
2024-25 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	280	47	47	94	+34	263	2	0	11	407	11.6	12:07

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

18 goals and 22 assists in 82 games — 40 points at 13:45 a night, plus-9, with 2 power-play goals on 123 shots, converting at 14.63 per cent, and 69 penalty minutes. A career high in every column.

50.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,050 minutes, the 53rd percentile — a better share than David Pastrnak’s line produced. His ice went 46-37 against an expectation of 41.37-41.16.

The Finesse Game

123 attempts at a median of 21 feet, with 48 per cent from inside 20 and 20 per cent from beyond 40, converting at 14.63 per cent.

He goes to the net and he scores from the paint, and eighteen goals in under fourteen minutes a night is a very good rate for the ice he is given. There is a real shot here and it was not obvious three years ago.

22 assists. He is not a distributor and the club does not ask for it.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 221, and he is the club’s designated hard man on a line that also scores. He finishes every check, he wins pucks below the goal line, and he will fight.

69 penalty minutes in 82 games and 263 in 280 for his career — very nearly a minute a game across a six-year career. He retaliates and he takes liberties, and on a club that spent 5:30 a game shorthanded that is a real cost against a real deterrent.

The Intangibles

Twenty-ninth overall in 2016 and 280 games at 26, all of them here, after four seasons of being a fourth-line forward who could not stay in the lineup.

A first-round pick who becomes a forty-point third-line winger at 26 is a good outcome, and this club needed exactly that in the year it lost two centres.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

durable· was available
82 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips
“**He goes to the net and he scores from the paint**, and eighteen goals in under fourteen minutes a night is a very good rate for the ice he is given.”
punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally
“**6-3 and 221, and he is the club's designated hard man on a line that also scores.** He finishes every check, he wins pucks below the goal line, and he will fight.”
wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line
“**6-3 and 221, and he is the club's designated hard man on a line that also scores.** He finishes every check, he wins pucks below the goal line, and he will fight.”
nastya strength· hard to play against; the edge is the point
“**6-3 and 221, and he is the club's designated hard man on a line that also scores.** He finishes every check, he wins pucks below the goal line, and he will fight.”
retaliatesa strength· answers the cross-check, and takes the second penalty
“**He retaliates and he takes liberties**, and on a club that spent 5:30 a game shorthanded that is a real cost against a real deterrent.”
takes-libertiesa strength· crosses the line and knows where it is
“**He retaliates and he takes liberties**, and on a club that spent 5:30 a game shorthanded that is a real cost against a real deterrent.”
playmakerhe lacks it· passes up the shot a scorer takes
“22 assists. He is not a distributor and the club does not ask for it.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,050 minutes

Expected goals: 50.1%; 54th pct
Shot attempts: 46.1%; 23rd pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 46 for, 37 against. Expected: 41.4 and 41.2.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

57th

Numbers

54th

The two rank him within 3 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 71 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 82 games

Top speed: 22.8 mph; 78th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 1.09 a game
Distance: 2.26 miles a game
Hardest shot: 91.5 mph; 78th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1050 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club: BOS took 49.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.1% — 0.4 above the club he did it on.
The role: Second line, 1,050 minutes at five-on-five — 65th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Morgan Geekie	50.5%	49.9%	50.7%
James van Riemsdyk	55.9%	46.5%	51.9%
Brandon Carlo	53.0%	48.7%	43.5%

50.5% together, 49.9% for him apart and 50.7% for Geekie apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

168 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 18 of them goals. His median goal came from 19 feet. 48% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 20% from beyond forty.