This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Trent Frederic
Boston Bruins Center
Seventeen goals and six game-winners in under twelve minutes a night.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-19 | BOS | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 0.0 | 9:24 |
| 2019-20 | BOS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 6:26 |
| 2020-21 | BOS | 42 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 65 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 44 | 9.1 | 11:15 |
| 2021-22 | BOS | 60 | 8 | 10 | 18 | +10 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 100 | 8.0 | 11:39 |
| 2022-23 | BOS | 79 | 17 | 14 | 31 | +28 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 120 | 14.2 | 11:55 |
| 2023-24 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 198 | 29 | 25 | 54 | +25 | 194 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 284 | 10.2 | 11:27 |
This Season So Far
The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
17 goals and 14 assists in 79 games — 31 points at 11:55 a night, plus-28, with 6 game-winners on 120 shots, converting at 14.17 per cent, and 57 penalty minutes.
Seventeen goals in under twelve minutes a night is a genuinely efficient season, and it is more goals than his first four seasons produced between them. 54.5 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 898 minutes, the 84th percentile; his ice went 47-23 against an expectation of 38.49-32.12.
The Finesse Game
120 attempts at a median of 25 feet, 42 per cent from inside 20, off an 87.1 mph shot at the 23rd percentile.
The hands are the part nobody expected — 29 goals in 198 career games, 17 of them last season. 14 assists says the play does not run through him, and the honest description is a fourth-line forward who scored like a third-line one for a year.
The Physical Game
6-3 and 221, and 194 penalty minutes in 198 games is the job — he fights, he finishes checks, and he is one of the few men on this roster who will answer for a teammate.
1.92 miles a game is the 12th percentile on 22.8 mph top speed at the 77th, which describes the shift exactly: short, fast, and spent in a small area. He is a straight-line forechecker rather than a puck-carrier.
The Intangibles
Twenty-ninth overall in 2016, and five seasons of being a first-round pick who looked like a fourth-liner before last year.
He is 25. On a club that just lost two centres, a 25-year-old who can play the middle, fight, and score seventeen goals is suddenly worth more than he was in June — and the question is whether seventeen was the player or the linemates.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
- he lacks itraised, and he does not have it
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- clutch· scored his goals when the game was still live
3 of his 17 goals late or in overtime, 93rd percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure barely repeats (0.06) · 10% keep it
- durable· was available
79 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
“he fights, he finishes checks, and he is one of the few men on this roster who will answer for a teammate”
“he fights, he finishes checks, and he is one of the few men on this roster who will answer for a teammate”
“He is a straight-line forechecker rather than a puck-carrier.”
“14 assists says the play does not run through him”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 898 minutes
- Expected goals
- 54.5%
- 84th pct
- Shot attempts
- 49.6%
- 49th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 47 for, 23 against. Expected: 38.5 and 32.1.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe two rank him within 3 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.
Both bars are percentiles among the 58 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 66 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2022-23 · 898 minutes at five-on-five
- Taylor Hallnow CHI23%
- Anthony-John (AJ) Greernow CGY20%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2022-23
- The club
- BOS took 53.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.5% — 1.0 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- Second line, 898 minutes at five-on-five — 48th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Coyle | 54.7% | 53.8% | 43.4% |
| Connor Clifton | 52.2% | 55.9% | 50.6% |
| Hampus Lindholm | 52.9% | 55.3% | 56.8% |
54.7% together, 53.8% for him apart and 43.4% for Coyle apart. Coyle was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Coyle than for him.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
153 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 17 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 42% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 20% from beyond forty.