Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

51

Mark Friedman

Vancouver Canucks Defense

Not one attempt from inside twenty feet, in 23 games.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2018-19PHI1000-1000010.012:33
2019-20PHI60110200020.013:35
2020-21PHI/PIT9213+19000922.211:03
2021-22PIT26145+123001273.713:17
2022-23PIT23123+215000362.814:27
2023-24VAN23011+421000160.012:14
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—884913+770001914.413:06

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

23 games, no goals and 1 assist, 21 penalty minutes, 12:14 a night and even. He took 52.2 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 278 minutes, the 69th percentile, and his ice went 12-8 against an expectation of 11.64-10.67.

Level with the chances at the offensive end and three goals of goaltending above them. Twenty-one penalty minutes in 23 games at twelve minutes a night is among the highest rates on the club.

The Finesse Game

31 attempts at a median of 53 feet with 94 per cent of them from beyond forty and not one from inside twenty, 14 of those on goal, converted at nothing at all against a career 4.40 across 91 shots.

Four career goals and 9 assists in 88 games. Not one of his 31 attempts came from inside twenty feet and fewer than half of them reached the goaltender, which is the most perimeter-bound chart on this club by a distance.

The Physical Game

He is 5-11 and 185 and took 21 penalty minutes in 23 games.

Seventy career penalty minutes in 88 games. He is small for a defenceman and plays as though he is not, finishing every check and fighting men who outweigh him; the penalty rate is the whole of his file.

The Intangibles

Eighty-sixth overall in 2014 by Philadelphia, six seasons, and Vancouver is his third organisation.

A career plus-7 in 88 games. He is 28, he has never played more than 26 games in a season, and he has been a seventh defenceman on three clubs.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • nastya strength· hard to play against; the edge is the point

    “He is small for a defenceman and plays as though he is not, finishing every check and fighting men who outweigh him; the penalty rate is the whole of his file.”

  • net-fronthe lacks it· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “Not one of his 31 attempts came from inside twenty feet and fewer than half of them reached the goaltender, which is the most perimeter-bound chart on this club by a distance.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 278 minutes

Expected goals
52.2%
69th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.2%
57th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 12 for, 8 against. Expected: 11.6 and 10.7.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
51st
Numbers
69th

The two rank him within 18 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 23 games

Top speed
22.0 mph
63rd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.7

Bursts over 20 mph
0.43 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.73 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
92.3 mph
53rd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.2

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 278 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
VAN took 52.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.2% — 0.4 below the club he did it on.
The role
278 minutes at five-on-five — 5th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Ian Cole53.0%51.6%53.9%
Conor Garland60.2%49.3%60.1%
Elias Pettersson64.2%44.9%52.3%

53.0% together, 51.6% for him apart and 53.9% for Cole apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

31 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 0 of them goals. 0% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 94% from beyond forty.