Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

10

Trent Frederic

Edmonton Oilers Center

15 points in 58 games, a minus-16, and a large contract signed on the basis of a role rather than a season.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2018-19BOS15000-415000190.09:24
2019-20BOS2000-1000010.06:26
2020-21BOS42415-865003449.111:15
2021-22BOS6081018+10570011008.011:39
2022-23BOS79171431+285700612014.211:55
2023-24BOS82182240+96920112314.613:45
2024-25BOS/EDM588715-16441007810.313:43
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—3385554109+18307301148511.312:24

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

8 goals and 7 assists in 58 games for 15 points, minus-16, on 13:43 a night between Boston and Edmonton.

48.9 per cent at five-on-five, the 43rd percentile, which on this club is the second-worst among the forwards. 78 shots and 8 goals; he had 18 goals two seasons before and has not been near that since.

The Finesse Game

Limited. 15 points in 58 games is closer to his career rate than the 18-goal season was, and 7 assists says there is no playmaking to speak of.

47 per cent of his shots come from inside 20 feet, so the locations are correct and the hands are ordinary. He is a net-front and forechecking forward and the offence is incidental.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 221, and this is the entire case. He hits hard, fights when the game asks, and is genuinely difficult to play against below the goal line.

44 penalty minutes in 58 games. He arrived at the deadline injured and never looked right, which is part of why the season reads as it does.

The Intangibles

A first-round pick, seven seasons in Boston as a heavy bottom-six forward, a deadline trade, and a long contract from a club that had just lost a second consecutive final to a heavier team.

That is the context and it is also the risk. Edmonton is paying for the idea of him — size, willingness, a hard series — and the last two seasons of production say 20 points.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • playmakerhe lacks it· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “7 assists says there is no playmaking to speak of.”

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “He is a net-front and forechecking forward and the offence is incidental.”

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “He is a net-front and forechecking forward and the offence is incidental.”

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He hits hard, fights when the game asks, and is genuinely difficult to play against below the goal line.”

  • wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line

    “is genuinely difficult to play against below the goal line”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 721 minutes

Expected goals
48.9%
44th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47.8%
32nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 19 for, 30 against. Expected: 25.9 and 27.1.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
49th
Numbers
44th

The two rank him within 5 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 72 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 58 games

Top speed
22.0 mph
40th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.14 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.28 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
88.8 mph
71st pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 with BOS · 714 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
EDM took 54.3% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.9% — 5.4 below the club he did it on.
The role
721 minutes at five-on-five — 29th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Charlie Coyle47.2%49.8%49.7%
Justin Brazeau47.2%49.8%49.6%
Brandon Carlo45.9%50.2%46.5%

47.2% together, 49.8% for him apart and 49.7% for Coyle apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

111 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 8 of them goals. His median goal came from 17 feet. 48% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 19% from beyond forty.