Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

10

Trent Frederic

Edmonton Oilers Center

15 points in 58 games, a minus-16, and a large contract signed on the basis of a role rather than a season.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2018-19BOS15000-415000190.09:24
2019-20BOS2000-1000010.06:26
2020-21BOS42415-865003449.111:15
2021-22BOS6081018+10570011008.011:39
2022-23BOS79171431+285700612014.211:55
2023-24BOS82182240+96920112314.613:45
2024-25BOS/EDM588715-16441007810.313:43
2025-26 so far
Career3385554109+18307301148511.312:24

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

8 goals and 7 assists in 58 games for 15 points, minus-16, on 13:43 a night between Boston and Edmonton.

49.7 per cent at five-on-five, the 49th percentile, which on this club is the second-worst among the forwards. 78 shots and 8 goals; he had 18 goals two seasons before and has not been near that since.

The Finesse Game

Limited. 15 points in 58 games is closer to his career rate than the 18-goal season was, and 7 assists says there is no playmaking to speak of.

47 per cent of his shots come from inside 20 feet, so the locations are correct and the hands are ordinary. He is a net-front and forechecking forward and the offence is incidental.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 221, and this is the entire case. He hits hard, fights when the game asks, and is genuinely difficult to play against below the goal line.

44 penalty minutes in 58 games. He arrived at the deadline injured and never looked right, which is part of why the season reads as it does.

The Intangibles

A first-round pick, seven seasons in Boston as a heavy bottom-six forward, a deadline trade, and a long contract from a club that had just lost a second consecutive final to a heavier team.

That is the context and it is also the risk. Edmonton is paying for the idea of him — size, willingness, a hard series — and the last two seasons of production say 20 points.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 721 minutes

Expected goals
49.7%
50th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
48.4%
36th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 32 for, 24 against. Expected: 26.9 and 27.2.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
47th
Numbers
50th

The two rank him within 3 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 357 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 72 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 with BOS · 714 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
EDM took 54.3% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.7% — 4.6 below the club he did it on.
The role
721 minutes at five-on-five — 29th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Charlie Coyle47.6%50.9%49.8%
Justin Brazeau47.7%50.7%50.0%
Andrew Peeke49.0%50.0%48.5%

47.6% together, 50.9% for him apart and 49.8% for Coyle apart. He was better away from Coyle, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Coyle.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

111 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 8 of them goals. His median goal came from 17 feet. 48% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 19% from beyond forty.