Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2025-26 report →

92

Tomas Nosek

Florida Panthers Left Wing

Undrafted, five career shorthanded goals, and a job description with one line in it.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16DET6000-2200020.010:08
2016-17DET11101-12000195.310:07
2017-18VGK677815+614010927.611:06
2018-19VGK688917-10180111166.912:28
2019-20VGK678715-220011938.611:36
2020-21VGK3881018+7100025913.613:00
2021-22BOS7531417-932001843.613:21
2022-23BOS6671118+9480216910.112:33
2023-24NJD36246-116000385.311:49
2024-25 so far
Career4344463107-131520565727.712:11

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

36 games in New Jersey, 2 goals and 4 assists for 6 points, 6 penalty minutes, 11:49 a night and minus-11. He took 41.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 372 minutes, the 6th percentile, and his ice went 10-21 against an expectation of 11.97-17.13, all of it with the Devils.

Four more conceded than the chances called for, on the sixth percentile of chance share. That is the worst share of anybody who will dress for Florida and it came on a club that fell apart around him.

The Finesse Game

38 shots at a median of 30 feet with 37 per cent from inside 20, converted at 5.3 per cent. Forty-four goals in 434 career games.

63 career assists in 434 games. He is a straight-line fourth-line winger and the offence has never been part of the arrangement.

The Physical Game

He is 6-3 and 199 and finishes checks without hurting anybody.

6 penalty minutes in 36 games and 152 in 434 career games is a disciplined rate for a checking forward, which matters on a club that spends as much time shorthanded as this one.

The Intangibles

Undrafted, out of Pardubice, nine seasons across four organisations, and 107 points in 434 games. He kills penalties and has 5 career shorthanded goals in 434 games.

He has spent nine years being the man a coach trusts with a shift nobody wants. At 32 the kill is the whole of what he offers and Florida needs more of it than most clubs do.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 372 minutes

Expected goals
41.1%
6th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
45.1%
18th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 10 for, 21 against. Expected: 12.0 and 17.1.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
21st
Numbers
6th

The two rank him within 15 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 379 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 59 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with NJD · 372 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
NJD took 50.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 41.1% — 9.6 below the club he did it on.
The role
372 minutes at five-on-five — 11th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Ondrej Palat45.5%37.6%56.9%
Luke Hughes47.2%37.8%52.4%
Simon Nemec39.9%41.8%53.1%

45.5% together, 37.6% for him apart and 56.9% for Palat apart. He was the one being carried: the share went with Palat and did not follow him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

54 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 47 feet. 37% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 43% from beyond forty.