Tomas Nosek
Florida Panthers Left Wing
A 57.2 per cent chance share in the smallest role on the roster, and 9 points.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-16 | DET | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 10:08 |
| 2016-17 | DET | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 5.3 | 10:07 |
| 2017-18 | VGK | 67 | 7 | 8 | 15 | +6 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 92 | 7.6 | 11:06 |
| 2018-19 | VGK | 68 | 8 | 9 | 17 | -10 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 116 | 6.9 | 12:28 |
| 2019-20 | VGK | 67 | 8 | 7 | 15 | -2 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 93 | 8.6 | 11:36 |
| 2020-21 | VGK | 38 | 8 | 10 | 18 | +7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13.6 | 13:00 |
| 2021-22 | BOS | 75 | 3 | 14 | 17 | -9 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 84 | 3.6 | 13:21 |
| 2022-23 | BOS | 66 | 7 | 11 | 18 | +9 | 48 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 69 | 10.1 | 12:33 |
| 2023-24 | NJD | 36 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 5.3 | 11:49 |
| 2024-25 | FLA | 59 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 2.1 | 9:49 |
| 2025-26 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 493 | 45 | 71 | 116 | -9 | 162 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 619 | 7.3 | 11:54 |
This Season So Far
The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
1 goal and 8 assists in 59 games for 9 points, plus-4, on 9:49 a night.
57.2 per cent at five-on-five, the 97th percentile, over 490 minutes, with on-ice goals of 27-19 against an expected 21-16. A fourth-line centre with the fourth-best chance share on a Cup winner.
The Finesse Game
Essentially none. 47 shots in 59 games and 1 goal, which is the lowest finishing rate of any regular in this chapter.
8 assists is what he produces. The value is entirely in the faceoff circle, on the penalty kill, and in not losing possession.
The Physical Game
6-3 and 199, and honest. He wins pucks on the wall, blocks shots, and is difficult below the goal line without being punishing.
10 penalty minutes over 59 games is exceptional discipline for a fourth-line centre.
The Intangibles
Undrafted, four organisations, a Cup in Vegas and another here, and a career of being the fourth-line centre contenders keep signing.
At 33 the projection is unchanged and the value is real. Nobody on this roster is worse in a box score and few are better in a shift.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 490 minutes
- Expected goals
- 57.2%
- 97th pct
- Shot attempts
- 55.2%
- 92nd pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 27 for, 19 against. Expected: 21.5 and 16.1.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe numbers rank him 61 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 357 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2024-25 · 490 minutes at five-on-five
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2024-25
- The club
- FLA took 54.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 57.2% — 3.2 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- Fourth line, 490 minutes at five-on-five — 16th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jonah Gadjovich | 59.4% | 56.0% | 44.5% |
| Dmitry Kulikov | 59.9% | 55.8% | 50.3% |
| Nate Schmidt | 61.4% | 55.1% | 55.5% |
59.4% together, 56.0% for him apart and 44.5% for Gadjovich apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
80 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 11 feet. 48% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 25% from beyond forty.