This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Steven Lorentz
Florida Panthers Center
A seventh-round pick, six foot four, and his ice scored twenty-two goals against an expectation of thirty-two.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-21 | CAR | 45 | 2 | 6 | 8 | +1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 5.0 | 10:26 |
| 2021-22 | CAR | 67 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 80 | 10.0 | 10:53 |
| 2022-23 | SJS | 80 | 10 | 9 | 19 | -18 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 111 | 9.0 | 11:50 |
| 2023-24 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 192 | 20 | 20 | 40 | -17 | 32 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 231 | 8.7 | 11:10 |
This Season So Far
The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
10 goals and 9 assists in 80 games — 19 points — with San Jose. Minus-18, 11:50 a night, 111 shots at 9.0 per cent, 16 penalty minutes.
46.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 31st percentile, with his ice at 22-40 against an expectation of 31.98-36.41. Ten goals short at the offensive end and four long at the defensive one — the worst combined finishing gap on the Florida roster, and it belongs mostly to the club he was on.
Three seasons, 192 games, 40 points.
The Finesse Game
111 shots at a median of 23 feet, 43 per cent from inside twenty and 17 per cent from beyond forty.
Beyond forty: 18 shots on goal and no goals. Inside forty: 92 shots, 10 goals, 10.87 per cent.
17 tip-ins out of 111 tracked shots — a high redirect share, and the mechanism behind ten goals from a fourth line. He goes to the net and gets a stick on things.
87.0 mph at the 22nd percentile, on three slap shots.
The Physical Game
6-4 and 219, and sixteen penalty minutes in eighty games, which is a remarkably low figure for a man that size on a fourth line.
Top speed 22.1 mph, the 42nd percentile; bursts 1.4 a game, the 69th; 1.94 miles a game, the 14th.
He forechecks and he finishes checks, and he does it without taking penalties. Sixteen minutes across a full season from a 219-pound checking centre is the sort of discipline that keeps a marginal player employed.
The Intangibles
One hundred and eighty-sixth overall in 2015, five years in the minors before he stuck, and 192 NHL games with two organisations since.
43.5 per cent of his five-on-five shifts started in the attacking zone, the 22nd percentile.
He kills penalties, he takes the fourth-line draws, and he is the sort of player every club has three of. Florida signed him for a year.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- durable· was available
80 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
“He goes to the net and gets a stick on things.”
“He forechecks and he finishes checks, and he does it without taking penalties.”
“He kills penalties, he takes the fourth-line draws, and he is the sort of player every club has three of.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 820 minutes
- Expected goals
- 46.8%
- 31st pct
- Shot attempts
- 47.5%
- 34th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 22 for, 40 against. Expected: 32.0 and 36.4.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe two rank him within 2 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.
Both bars are percentiles among the 638 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 61 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2022-23 · 80 games
- Top speed
- 22.1 mph
- 50th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 1.36 a game
- Distance
- 1.94 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 87.0 mph
- 48th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.9
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2022-23 with SJS · 820 minutes at five-on-five
- Evgeny Svechnikovoff the roster21%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2022-23
- The club
- SJS took 48.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 46.8% — 1.7 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- Fourth line, 820 minutes at five-on-five — 41st percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oskar Lindblom | 45.0% | 48.6% | 44.4% |
| Mario Ferraro | 40.7% | 49.8% | 46.8% |
| Erik Karlsson | 47.0% | 46.6% | 52.0% |
45.0% together, 48.6% for him apart and 44.4% for Lindblom apart. He was better away from Lindblom, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Lindblom.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
150 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 10 of them goals. His median goal came from 12 feet. 43% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 17% from beyond forty.