Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

94

Ryan Lomberg

Calgary Flames Left Wing

5-9, 13 points, 57 penalty minutes, and a 41.5 per cent chance share — the 4th percentile in the league.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2017-18CGY701101500050.06:15
2018-19CGY400001700010.06:59
2020-21FLA34224-267000474.39:43
2021-22FLA559918+492001919.911:24
2022-23FLA8212820-1880011349.011:19
2023-24FLA75527-180102687.39:32
2024-25CGY8031013-557000664.58:39
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—337313263-54161044127.59:59

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

3 goals and 10 assists in 80 games for 13 points, minus-5, on 8:39 a night — the smallest role on the roster.

42.5 per cent at five-on-five, the 7th percentile, over 652 minutes. His on-ice goals were 18-22 against an expected 19-25, so the goaltending covered part of it and the shifts were genuinely bad.

The Finesse Game

None to speak of. 66 shots in 80 games and 3 goals, and 10 assists — there is no offensive contribution and there has never been one.

He forechecks and finishes checks. That is the whole of it.

The Physical Game

5-9 and 184, and he fights men a foot taller than him without hesitation. He hits, he is willing, and he has built a nine-year career out of being the smallest man on the ice and the least worried about it.

57 penalty minutes in 80 games is a high rate for eight and a half minutes a night, and on a club with the 24th penalty kill it is a direct cost.

The Intangibles

Undrafted, a Cup in Florida, and a career made entirely out of willingness.

The honest reading is that a 4th-percentile chance share over 652 minutes is a genuine cost that the role does not justify. The league is carrying fewer of these players every year for exactly this reason.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    80 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “He forechecks and finishes checks. That is the whole of it.”

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He hits, he is willing, and he has built a nine-year career out of being the smallest man on the ice and the least worried about it.”

  • nastya strength· hard to play against; the edge is the point

    “5-9 and 184, and he fights men a foot taller than him without hesitation.”

  • undrafteda strength· arrived without a pick attached

    “Undrafted, a Cup in Florida, and a career made entirely out of willingness.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 652 minutes

Expected goals
42.5%
8th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
46.1%
19th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 18 for, 22 against. Expected: 18.7 and 25.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
25th
Numbers
8th

The two rank him within 17 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 68 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 80 games

Top speed
22.8 mph
74th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.04 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.43 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
80.7 mph
21st pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 652 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
CGY took 48.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 42.5% — 6.2 below the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 652 minutes at five-on-five — 25th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Kevin Rooney42.8%42.1%42.2%
Brayden Pachal40.4%43.7%49.3%
MacKenzie Weegar45.9%41.1%51.7%

42.8% together, 42.1% for him apart and 42.2% for Rooney apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

97 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 3 of them goals. His median goal came from 9 feet. 40% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 27% from beyond forty.