Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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87

Sidney Crosby

Pittsburgh Penguins Center

The most career points and the most career assists of anybody in this edition, and 42 goals in his nineteenth season.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2005-06PIT813963102-1110160527814.020:08
2006-07PIT793684120+1060130425014.420:46
2007-08PIT53244872+183960417313.920:51
2008-09PIT773370103+37670323813.921:57
2009-10PIT815158109+1571132629817.121:57
2010-11PIT41323466+2031101316119.921:55
2011-12PIT2282937+15142037510.718:28
2012-13PIT36154156+261630112412.121:06
2013-14PIT803668104+1846110525913.921:58
2014-15PIT77285684+547100323711.819:58
2015-16PIT80364985+1942100924814.520:28
2016-17PIT75444589+1724140525517.319:53
2017-18PIT8229608904690624711.720:41
2018-19PIT793565100+1836120322015.921:00
2019-20PIT41163147-81540410914.720:16
2020-21PIT55243862+82651515915.120:24
2021-22PIT69315384+193280920814.919:58
2022-23PIT82336093+85290925512.920:09
2023-24PIT82425294+740100327815.120:05
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—127259210041596+217823172490407214.520:41

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

82 games, 42 goals and 52 assists for 94 points, 10 on the power play, 40 penalty minutes, 20:05 a night and plus-7, with 3 game-winners. He took 53.9 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,256 minutes, the 82nd percentile, and his ice went 78-74 against an expectation of 71.92-61.40.

Six goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and twelve and a half more conceded than they called for — the worst goaltending figure of anybody on the club, behind the best player on it. Forty-two goals is the most of any player 35 or older in this edition, and eleven more than the next man.

The Finesse Game

388 attempts at a median of 22 feet with 43 per cent of them from inside twenty, 271 of those on goal, converted at 15.1 per cent against a career 14.54 across 4,072 shots.

1,004 career assists, and he is the only man in this edition past a thousand. He wins pucks below the goal line and protects them with his back to pressure, and the passing out of that position is still the best part of him. Forty-three per cent of his attempts from inside twenty feet at 37 is a centre who has not moved his office an inch in nineteen years.

The Physical Game

He is 5-11 and 200 and took 40 penalty minutes.

823 career penalty minutes in 1,272 games is an ordinary rate for a man who has spent two decades being cross-checked in the slot. He is thickly built through the legs and almost impossible to knock off a puck, which is the physical quality the rest of his game rests on.

The Intangibles

First overall in 2005, nineteen seasons, all of them in Pittsburgh, and 1,596 points in 1,272 games — the most of anybody in this edition.

A career plus-217, third in the edition behind Brad Marchand and Ryan McDonagh. He is the captain here, and 42 goals at this age is the argument that the club is not obliged to start over yet.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • hard-shot· beats a goaltender from range

    5 of 65 attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 7.7%, 93rd percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.21) · 16% keep it

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • workhorse· carries the load at even strength

    15:19 a game at five-on-five, 95th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it

  • sheltered· is started in the attacking end

    63% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 95th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it

  • playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “1,004 career assists, and he is the only man in this edition past a thousand.”

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “Forty-three per cent of his attempts from inside twenty feet at 37 is a centre who has not moved his office an inch in nineteen years.”

  • hard-to-movea strength· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand

    “He is thickly built through the legs and almost impossible to knock off a puck, which is the physical quality the rest of his game rests on.”

  • leadershipa strength· the room, and who holds it

    “He is the captain here, and 42 goals at this age is the argument that the club is not obliged to start over yet.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,256 minutes

Expected goals
53.9%
82nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
55.1%
90th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 78 for, 74 against. Expected: 71.9 and 61.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
100th
Numbers
82nd

The two rank him within 18 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 88 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 82 games

Top speed
22.9 mph
83rd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
2.30 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.26 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
90.8 mph
75th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1256 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
PIT took 51.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.9% — 2.8 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 1,256 minutes at five-on-five — 87th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Bryan Rust54.3%53.5%48.3%
Jake Guentzel57.2%49.1%57.1%
Kris Letang54.1%53.8%45.9%

54.3% together, 53.5% for him apart and 48.3% for Rust apart. Rust was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Rust than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

388 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 43 of them goals. His median goal came from 15 feet. 44% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 16% from beyond forty.