Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

87

Sidney Crosby

Pittsburgh Penguins Center

91 points at 37, 10 game-winning goals, and a five-on-five expectation of 56.21 goals for that returned 29.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2005-06PIT813963102-1110160527814.020:08
2006-07PIT793684120+1060130425014.420:46
2007-08PIT53244872+183960417313.920:51
2008-09PIT773370103+37670323813.921:57
2009-10PIT815158109+1571132629817.121:57
2010-11PIT41323466+2031101316119.921:55
2011-12PIT2282937+15142037510.718:28
2012-13PIT36154156+261630112412.121:06
2013-14PIT803668104+1846110525913.921:58
2014-15PIT77285684+547100323711.819:58
2015-16PIT80364985+1942100924814.520:28
2016-17PIT75444589+1724140525517.319:53
2017-18PIT8229608904690624711.720:41
2018-19PIT793565100+1836120322015.921:00
2019-20PIT41163147-81540410914.720:16
2020-21PIT55243862+82651515915.120:24
2021-22PIT69315384+193280920814.919:58
2022-23PIT82336093+85290925512.920:09
2023-24PIT82425294+740100327815.120:05
2024-25PIT80335891-20311201022714.520:22
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—135262510621687+1978541844100429914.520:40

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

33 goals and 58 assists in 80 games — 91 points at 37, at 20:22 a night, with 12 power-play goals and 10 game-winning goals, on 227 shots. Minus-20.

51.5 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 66th percentile. And the ice he was on scored 72 goals against an expectation of 60.61 while conceding 71 against 57.05. Eleven goals of scoring arrived above expectation and fourteen more went in than they should have, and the second of those is not a thing a player can do to himself.

The Finesse Game

227 attempts at a median of 21 feet with 48 per cent of them from inside 20, converting at 14.5 per cent. At 37 he is still shooting from the paint, which is the whole of what has kept the production where it is.

The puck protection below the goal line is the signature and it has not eroded. He holds the puck on the wall with a defenceman on his back until a passing lane appears, and 58 assists is what that produces. There is nobody in this book better at it.

The Physical Game

5-11 and 200 and thick through the legs, which is the reason the wall game works. He is not fast in the modern sense and he never was; he wins pucks by leverage and by being impossible to knock off balance.

31 penalty minutes in 80 games. He takes an enormous amount of stick work in the areas he plays in and he answers almost none of it — the discipline at this stage is total.

The Intangibles

First overall in 2005, 1,352 games, 1,687 points, 625 goals, three Stanley Cups, two Conn Smythes, and a captaincy held for eighteen seasons.

Last season was his twentieth consecutive year at a point a game, which is a record. He is 38, the club has missed the playoffs three years running, and he has given no indication of wanting to be anywhere else.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    80 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • workhorse· carries the load at even strength

    15:30 a game at five-on-five, 97th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “At 37 he is still shooting from the paint, which is the whole of what has kept the production where it is.”

  • wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line

    “He holds the puck on the wall with a defenceman on his back until a passing lane appears, and 58 assists is what that produces.”

  • playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “He holds the puck on the wall with a defenceman on his back until a passing lane appears, and 58 assists is what that produces.”

  • hard-to-movea strength· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand

    “he wins pucks by leverage and by being impossible to knock off balance.”

  • retaliateshe lacks it· answers the cross-check, and takes the second penalty

    “He takes an enormous amount of stick work in the areas he plays in and he answers almost none of it — the discipline at this stage is total.”

  • leadershipa strength· the room, and who holds it

    “First overall in 2005, **1,352 games, 1,687 points, 625 goals**, three Stanley Cups, two Conn Smythes, and a captaincy held for eighteen seasons.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,240 minutes

Expected goals
51.5%
67th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
52.8%
81st pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 72 for, 71 against. Expected: 60.6 and 57.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
100th
Numbers
67th

The report ranks him 33 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 89 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 80 games

Top speed
22.5 mph
65th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.99 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.30 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
94.5 mph
95th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1240 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
PIT took 49.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.5% — 2.5 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,240 minutes at five-on-five — 88th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Rickard Rakell53.5%46.3%46.0%
Bryan Rust50.8%53.2%35.8%
Erik Karlsson53.2%49.7%45.6%

53.5% together, 46.3% for him apart and 46.0% for Rakell apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

331 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 34 of them goals. His median goal came from 16 feet. 48% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 15% from beyond forty.