Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

67

Lawson Crouse

Utah Hockey Club Left Wing

Twenty-three goals at 6-4, and a career minus-50 in eight seasons on one club.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2016-17ARI725712-2048012845.911:53
2017-18ARI11101-67000137.710:56
2018-19ARI81111425+5670211318.412:57
2019-20ARI6615102503301310913.813:35
2020-21ARI514913-1046000705.714:18
2021-22ARI65201434-95231413115.317:26
2022-23ARI77242145-33560315115.917:45
2023-24ARI81231942-73670217113.516:49
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—50410394197-503241651586012.014:54

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

81 games, 23 goals and 19 assists for 42 points, 7 on the power play, 36 penalty minutes, 16:49 a night and minus-7, with 2 game-winners. He took 50.0 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,053 minutes, the 53rd percentile, and his ice went 40-45 against an expectation of 44.98-44.99.

Five goals of finishing below what the chances were worth and level at the other end. Twenty-three goals is his second-highest total and it came on an exactly even chance share.

The Finesse Game

227 attempts at a median of 26 feet with 38 per cent of them from inside twenty and 21 per cent from beyond forty, 166 of those on goal, converted at 13.5 per cent against a career 11.98 across 860 shots.

103 career goals and 94 assists in 504 games. He gets to the net and finishes from there — 38 per cent of his attempts came from inside twenty feet — and seven power-play goals is a large man standing in the right place.

The Physical Game

He is 6-4 and 214 and took 36 penalty minutes.

324 career penalty minutes in 504 games. He forechecks through people and wins the puck on the wall by outweighing whoever is there; eight seasons of that at his size is why he has taken more than three hundred penalty minutes without ever being a nuisance.

The Intangibles

Eleventh overall in 2015 by Florida, eight seasons, and he has played all of them for this organisation.

A career minus-50 and 15 game-winners in 504 games. He was drafted eleventh by a club he never played a game for and has spent all eight of his seasons with this organisation.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    81 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line

    “He forechecks through people and wins the puck on the wall by outweighing whoever is there; eight seasons of that at his size is why he has taken more than three hundred penalty minutes without ever being a nuisance.”

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “He gets to the net and finishes from there — 38 per cent of his attempts came from inside twenty feet — and seven power-play goals is a large man standing in the right place.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,053 minutes

Expected goals
50%
53rd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
48.4%
39th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 40 for, 45 against. Expected: 45.0 and 45.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
84th
Numbers
53rd

The report ranks him 31 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 77 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 81 games

Top speed
22.9 mph
86th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
1.06 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.60 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
90.4 mph
73rd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with ARI · 1053 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
ARI took 48.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.0% — 1.1 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,053 minutes at five-on-five — 66th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Nick Bjugstad51.9%47.2%44.2%
Matias Maccelli53.1%45.1%48.3%
J.J. Moser50.0%50.0%50.2%

51.9% together, 47.2% for him apart and 44.2% for Bjugstad apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

227 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 23 of them goals. His median goal came from 19 feet. 38% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 21% from beyond forty.