Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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46

Louis Crevier

Chicago Blackhawks Defense

Six foot eight, and the lowest chance share of any player in this edition.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2023-24CHI24033-164000180.015:41
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—24033-164000180.015:41

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

Twenty-four games, no goals and 3 assists, 15:41 a night and minus-16. He took 33.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 352 minutes, the lowest share of any player in this edition with three hundred minutes, and his ice went 6-23 against an expectation of 9.49-19.15.

The goals and the chances agree to within a goal in both directions, which is the honest and unpleasant reading: nothing went wrong, this is simply what the shifts were.

The Finesse Game

Eighteen shots, none of them goals, at a median of 59 feet with nothing at all from inside 20. There is no offensive game and there is not going to be one.

Three assists in 24 games. The puck is moved to the nearest available option and the club has never asked for more than that.

The Physical Game

He is 6-8 and 228 — one of two men at that height in this edition — and the reach is the entire professional case for him. Held out early it takes away a passing lane no other defenceman here can reach.

Four penalty minutes in 24 games is a very low rate. He does not punish people and does not need to; at that size a shoulder in the right place is enough. The skating is the limitation and it is a real one — a quick forward turns him and there is nothing to be done about it.

The Intangibles

A seventh-round pick, 188th overall in 2020, from Quebec City, who has made the National Hockey League. That is a genuine achievement and it does not depend on what the chance share says.

He is a seventh defenceman. On a club this thin he played 24 games, and on a good one he would play four.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best

    34% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 2nd percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • defends-with-reacha strength· takes the puck before the contact happens

    “Held out early it takes away a passing lane no other defenceman here can reach.”

  • punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He does not punish people and does not need to; at that size a shoulder in the right place is enough.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 352 minutes

Expected goals
33.1%
0th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
37.7%
0th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 6 for, 23 against. Expected: 9.5 and 19.1.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
0th
Numbers
0th

The two rank him within 0 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 45 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 24 games

Top speed
21.4 mph
39th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.7

Bursts over 20 mph
0.21 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.11 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
100.1 mph
92nd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.2

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 352 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
CHI took 41.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 33.1% — 8.8 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third pair, 352 minutes at five-on-five — 9th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jarred Tinordi34.2%32.6%38.4%
Alex Vlasic35.3%32.4%47.2%
Nick Foligno41.3%30.0%43.4%

34.2% together, 32.6% for him apart and 38.4% for Tinordi apart. Tinordi was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

20 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 0 of them goals. 0% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 80% from beyond forty.