This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Dante Fabbro
Nashville Predators Defense
Seventeenth overall in 2016, 309 games, and 2 per cent of his attempts from inside twenty feet.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-19 | NSH | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20.0 | 12:44 |
| 2019-20 | NSH | 64 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -7 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 92 | 5.4 | 19:02 |
| 2020-21 | NSH | 40 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -1 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 59 | 3.4 | 19:19 |
| 2021-22 | NSH | 66 | 3 | 21 | 24 | +13 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 88 | 3.4 | 19:03 |
| 2022-23 | NSH | 79 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -4 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 101 | 2.0 | 17:27 |
| 2023-24 | NSH | 56 | 3 | 10 | 13 | +9 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 4.6 | 16:21 |
| 2024-25 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 309 | 16 | 56 | 72 | +9 | 159 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 410 | 3.9 | 18:06 |
This Season So Far
The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
56 games, 3 goals and 10 assists for 13 points, 24 penalty minutes, 16:21 a night and plus-9. He took 54.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 822 minutes, the 84th percentile, and his ice went 38-32 against an expectation of 38.56-32.28.
Level at both ends — as close to exactly what the chances called for as anybody in this chapter managed. An 84th-percentile chance share on a third pairing is a good season nobody will remember.
The Finesse Game
65 shots at a median of 55 feet, with 2 per cent of his attempts from inside twenty and 81 per cent from beyond forty, converted at 4.6 per cent against a career 3.90.
56 career assists in 309 games. That is the shot chart of a defenceman who has been told to stay home and has agreed. Sixteen goals in six seasons is the whole offensive record and the first pass is the useful part.
The Physical Game
He is 6-0 and 200 and defends by position and stick rather than by force.
159 career penalty minutes in 309 games is a low rate. He blocks shots, holds the front of his net, and does not chase anybody into a corner.
The Intangibles
Seventeenth overall in 2016 out of Coquitlam, three years at Boston University, six seasons and 309 games, all of it for one organisation.
He is 26 and has been a third-pair right-hander for six years without ever becoming the second-pair one a seventeenth-overall pick was drafted to be. The club has added Brady Skjei, which settles it.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 822 minutes
- Expected goals
- 54.4%
- 84th pct
- Shot attempts
- 51%
- 63rd pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 38 for, 32 against. Expected: 38.6 and 32.3.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe numbers rank him 47 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 415 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 63 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2023-24 · 822 minutes at five-on-five
- Roman Josi74%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2023-24
- The club
- NSH took 52.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.4% — 1.9 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- Second pair, 822 minutes at five-on-five — 41st percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Josi | 55.0% | 52.6% | 54.0% |
| Filip Forsberg | 55.4% | 54.0% | 54.1% |
| Gustav Nyquist | 54.8% | 54.3% | 51.8% |
55.0% together, 52.6% for him apart and 54.0% for Josi apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
95 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 3 of them goals. His median goal came from 41 feet. 2% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 81% from beyond forty.