Armchair Hockey Scout

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2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2023-24 report →

41

Pierre-Edouard Bellemare

Tampa Bay Lightning Left Wing

The 3rd-largest penalty-kill workload of 393 forwards and the 5th-fewest shots, at 37.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2014-15PHI816612-3180011135.312:50
2015-16PHI747714-8270111026.913:34
2016-17PHI82448-120000904.412:58
2017-18VGK7261016+514001926.512:20
2018-19VGK766915+260201085.612:26
2019-20COL6991322+2170208510.613:25
2020-21COL539211+6210006015.011:20
2021-22TBL8091120+24190117212.513:45
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—5875662118+271420647227.812:53

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

80 games, 9 goals and 11 assists at 13:45 a night, plus-24, nineteen penalty minutes, 72 shots. One of the nine came short-handed and none on the power play. Undrafted, and eight seasons, 587 NHL games and 118 points out of it.

The Finesse Game

3.93 shots per 60 is the 5th-fewest of all 393 forwards who played forty games — seventy-two attempts across eighty games.

None of his twenty points came on the power play, off two seconds a night, the 2nd percentile. Everything here is even strength and the kill.

1.28 even-strength points per 60 is the 21st percentile.

And 53.4 per cent of the expected goals is the 75th percentile against 48.6 per cent of the attempts at the 35th. A five-point gap between the two, out of the 88th-lowest chair of the 652 skaters who took two hundred end-zone starts — 177 attacking starts against 266 in his own end.

A top-quarter chance share out of a bottom-seventh deployment while taking almost no shots is the exact shape of a fourth-line centre doing his job, and his ice went 36-17 against an expectation of 35.51-31.04.

The Physical Game

5-11 and 198 pounds, and nineteen penalty minutes in eighty games — 0.44 penalties taken per 60, the 24th percentile.

4.80 hits per 60 is the 60th percentile.

The Intangibles

2:35 a night short-handed is the 3rd-most of all 393 forwards, and he blocks 2.40 shots per 60 at the 81st percentile.

His shot is 98.2 mph, the 16th-hardest of the 365 forwards the tracking measures — which is a genuinely odd number beside seventy-two attempts and 3.93 per 60. Only four forwards on this roster shoot harder and none of them shoots less often.

22.5 mph is the 55th percentile and 9.63 miles per 60 the 49th, against 3.7 bursts over twenty miles an hour per 60 at the 30th. Ordinary in everything at 37.

He is 37, undrafted, in an eighth NHL season. The kill, the discipline, the chance share and eighty games at 37 are the case, and it is the whole case. Twenty points and the fifth-lowest shot rate in the league are what a club accepts to get them.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    80 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “2:35 a night short-handed is the 3rd-most of all 393 forwards, and he blocks 2.40 shots per 60 at the 81st percentile.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 896 minutes

Expected goals
53.4%
79th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
48.6%
42nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 36 for, 17 against. Expected: 35.5 and 31.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
63rd
Numbers
79th

The two rank him within 16 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 63 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 80 games

Top speed
22.5 mph
69th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
0.85 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.21 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
98.2 mph
97th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.1

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 896 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
TBL took 52.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.4% — 0.9 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 896 minutes at five-on-five — 49th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Pat Maroon53.7%52.2%54.0%
Corey Perry55.0%49.0%57.4%
Mikhail Sergachev53.9%53.0%52.2%

53.7% together, 52.2% for him apart and 54.0% for Maroon apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

102 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 9 of them goals. His median goal came from 22 feet. 36% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 25% from beyond forty.