Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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88

Patrick Kane

Detroit Red Wings Right Wing

59 points at 36 on a rebuilt hip, and 12 power-play goals on the league's 2nd-best unit.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2007-08CHI82215172-55270419111.018:22
2008-09CHI80254570-24213042549.818:40
2009-10CHI82305888+162090626111.519:12
2010-11CHI73274673+72850221612.519:17
2011-12CHI82234366+7404052539.120:12
2012-13CHI47233255+11880313816.720:03
2013-14CHI69294069+722100622712.819:37
2014-15CHI61273764+101060518614.519:51
2015-16CHI824660106+1730170928716.020:25
2016-17CHI82345589+113270529211.621:24
2017-18CHI82274976-20325042859.520:11
2018-19CHI814466110+22290734112.922:29
2019-20CHI70335184+84080227512.021:20
2020-21CHI56155166-7143031917.822:14
2021-22CHI78266692-19189022879.121:49
2022-23CHI/NYR73213657-22164012279.319:18
2023-24DET50202747-51620714713.618:23
2024-25DET72213859-1612120617512.017:59
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—130249285113430454138081423311.620:03

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

21 goals and 38 assists in 72 games for 59 points, minus-16, on 17:59 a night with 12 on the power play and 6 game-winners.

48.3 per cent at five-on-five, the 36th percentile. His on-ice goals were 30-28 against an expected 39-42 — 13 goals against on chances that were roughly even, which is the second-worst gap on the roster.

The Finesse Game

The hands and the vision are still the best on the club and possibly among the best of the last twenty years. He sees a pass nobody else is looking for, delays until the lane opens rather than forcing it, and the release from the circle has not slowed.

38 assists at 36 on a rebuilt hip is a genuine achievement. 175 shots and 21 goals at 12 per cent is a fair rate. Everything he produces now happens in a small area with the puck on his stick; there is no rush game and there has not been for years.

The Physical Game

5-10 and 176, and there is nothing here and never was. He does not forecheck, does not win pucks, and does not go near the net front.

12 penalty minutes over 72 games. The hip resurfacing surgery in 2023 was career-threatening and the fact that he has played two useful seasons since is the surprise, not the decline.

The Intangibles

Three Cups, a Conn Smythe, twelve hundred points, and a late career spent making a rebuilding club’s power play work.

At 36 the honest projection is 50 points, a power-play job, and a five-on-five chance share the club has to hide. The value is real and it is nearly all on the man advantage.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “He sees a pass nobody else is looking for, delays until the lane opens rather than forcing it, and the release from the circle has not slowed.”

  • forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck

    “He does not forecheck, does not win pucks, and does not go near the net front.”

  • wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line

    “He does not forecheck, does not win pucks, and does not go near the net front.”

  • net-fronthe lacks it· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “He does not forecheck, does not win pucks, and does not go near the net front.”

  • transitionhe lacks it· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “there is no rush game and there has not been for years”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 955 minutes

Expected goals
48.3%
37th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47.7%
31st pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 30 for, 28 against. Expected: 39.0 and 41.7.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
49th
Numbers
37th

The two rank him within 12 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 72 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 72 games

Top speed
22.2 mph
44th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.35 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.99 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
79.2 mph
17th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 955 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
DET took 48.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.3% — 0.1 above the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 955 minutes at five-on-five — 55th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Alex DeBrincat52.6%38.2%48.6%
Ben Chiarot43.0%51.2%45.5%
Moritz Seider47.5%48.7%51.1%

52.6% together, 38.2% for him apart and 48.6% for DeBrincat apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

251 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 22 of them goals. His median goal came from 21 feet. 30% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 20% from beyond forty.