This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Parker Kelly
Colorado Avalanche Center
Undrafted, on the fourth line, and in the 78th percentile in chance share while killing penalties.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-21 | OTT | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 100.0 | 7:32 |
| 2021-22 | OTT | 41 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -4 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 14.6 | 10:35 |
| 2022-23 | OTT | 55 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 59 | 1.7 | 10:30 |
| 2023-24 | OTT | 80 | 8 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 30 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 86 | 9.3 | 11:42 |
| 2024-25 | COL | 80 | 8 | 11 | 19 | -1 | 29 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 99 | 8.1 | 12:45 |
| 2025-26 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 257 | 25 | 29 | 54 | -21 | 156 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 293 | 8.5 | 11:35 |
This Season So Far
The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
8 goals and 11 assists in 80 games for 19 points, minus-1, on 12:45 a night, with a shorthanded goal.
50.9 per cent at five-on-five, the 61st percentile. 99 shots split evenly between inside 20 feet and beyond 40, which is a man taking whatever the shift gives him.
The Finesse Game
Not the strength, and he does not pretend otherwise. 8 goals on 99 shots at 8 per cent is the finishing of a fourth-line forward, and the passing is functional rather than creative.
What is genuinely good is the pace. He skates well enough to be the first man on a forecheck every shift and to recover when the play turns, and a large part of his value is simply that he is never the reason a rush goes the other way.
The Physical Game
6-1 and 185, and he finishes every check available to him. He gets to the interior, he goes to the net without the puck, and he is willing in the corners against men who outweigh him.
29 penalty minutes is the cost of playing at that speed, and it is a reasonable price. Nothing about the way he plays is careless.
The Intangibles
Undrafted, and an established NHL fourth-liner on a contending club at 26, which is the hard version of that career. He kills penalties, he takes hits to make plays, and he has never been given a minute he did not earn.
The projection is narrow and reliable. This is what he is, and he will be it for another five years unless the legs go, because none of it depends on scoring.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in
32.2% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 96th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it
- durable· was available
80 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
- hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best
33% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 7th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it
“He skates well enough to be the first man on a forecheck every shift and to recover when the play turns”
“a large part of his value is simply that he is never the reason a rush goes the other way”
“6-1 and 185, and he finishes every check available to him.”
“He gets to the interior, he goes to the net without the puck, and he is willing in the corners against men who outweigh him.”
“He kills penalties, he takes hits to make plays, and he has never been given a minute he did not earn.”
“Undrafted, and an established NHL fourth-liner on a contending club at 26, which is the hard version of that career.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 812 minutes
- Expected goals
- 50.9%
- 62nd pct
- Shot attempts
- 52.9%
- 82nd pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 18 for, 26 against. Expected: 26.9 and 26.0.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe two rank him within 4 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.
Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 75 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 80 games
- Top speed
- 22.9 mph
- 82nd pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 1.40 a game
- Distance
- 2.09 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 92.8 mph
- 91st pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 83.9
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2024-25 · 812 minutes at five-on-five
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2024-25
- The club
- COL took 53.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.9% — 2.3 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- Second line, 812 minutes at five-on-five — 37th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Logan O'Connor | 52.9% | 46.9% | 53.8% |
| Joel Kiviranta | 50.4% | 51.4% | 53.7% |
| Samuel Girard | 47.9% | 52.6% | 54.0% |
52.9% together, 46.9% for him apart and 53.8% for O'Connor apart. He was worse away from O'Connor, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than O'Connor did.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
149 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 7 of them goals. His median goal came from 30 feet. 32% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 32% from beyond forty.