This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Clayton Keller

90 points and a minus-12, and the ice he was on scored 25 goals at five-on-five against an expectation of 48.59.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2016-17	ARI	3	0	2	2	-3	0	0	0	0	0	—	12:40
2017-18	ARI	82	23	42	65	-7	24	6	0	3	212	10.8	18:05
2018-19	ARI	82	14	33	47	-21	24	1	0	5	200	7.0	18:14
2019-20	ARI	70	17	27	44	-6	28	2	0	2	184	9.2	16:18
2020-21	ARI	56	14	21	35	-5	18	4	0	3	124	11.3	16:40
2021-22	ARI	67	28	35	63	+3	28	5	1	2	177	15.8	20:08
2022-23	ARI	82	37	49	86	-2	49	6	1	4	223	16.6	20:45
2023-24	ARI	78	33	43	76	-20	32	9	0	4	228	14.5	19:15
2024-25	UTA	81	30	60	90	-12	28	10	0	5	218	13.8	19:07
2025-26 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	601	196	312	508	-73	231	43	2	28	1566	12.5	18:37

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

30 goals and 60 assists in 81 games — 90 points, a career high, at 19:07 a night, with 10 power-play goals and 5 game-winners on 218 shots. Minus-12.

53.6 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 74th percentile. His ice went 49-44 against an expectation of 51.90-44.96. Three goals of scoring did not arrive on the ice of a man who produced ninety points, which is as near to neutral as the figure gets.

The Finesse Game

218 attempts at a median of 28 feet with 34 per cent from inside 20, converting at 13.8 per cent.

60 assists is the number and the passing is genuinely elite. He carries the puck through the neutral zone at speed and gives it up a beat before a defenceman can commit, and on a club that was 3rd in the league at creating chances he is most of the reason.

The Physical Game

5-10 and 175 pounds and among the lightest forwards in the league. He does not win a puck against a defenceman on the wall and he does not forecheck with force.

28 penalty minutes in 81 games. He takes contact to make a play and does not answer it, and at this size on this roster that is the only available arrangement.

The Intangibles

Seventh overall in 2016 and 601 games and 508 points, all of it in the same organisation across three cities and two names.

He is 27, he is the captain, and he was the first player the club named one in Utah. Ninety points on a team that finished four points out of the playoffs is the season he has been building towards for a decade.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

durable· was available
81 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes
“**60 assists is the number and the passing is genuinely elite.** He carries the puck through the neutral zone at speed and gives it up a beat before a defenceman can commit, and on a club that was 3rd in the league at creating chances he is most of the reason.”
wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line
“He does not win a puck against a defenceman on the wall and he does not forecheck with force.”
forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck
“He does not win a puck against a defenceman on the wall and he does not forecheck with force.”
retaliateshe lacks it· answers the cross-check, and takes the second penalty
“He takes contact to make a play and does not answer it, and at this size on this roster that is the only available arrangement.”
leadershipa strength· the room, and who holds it
“He is 27, he is the captain, and he was the first player the club named one in Utah.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,125 minutes

Expected goals: 53.6%; 82nd pct
Shot attempts: 53.5%; 86th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 49 for, 44 against. Expected: 51.9 and 45.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

84th

Numbers

82nd

The two rank him within 2 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 79 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 81 games

Top speed: 23.2 mph; 91st pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 1.19 a game
Distance: 2.95 miles a game
Hardest shot: 89.3 mph; 74th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1125 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club: UTA took 53.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.6% — 0.4 above the club he did it on.
The role: First line, 1,125 minutes at five-on-five — 79th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Nick Schmaltz	55.9%	45.0%	48.1%
Mikhail Sergachev	54.8%	52.6%	50.5%
Logan Cooley	52.1%	54.5%	45.9%

55.9% together, 45.0% for him apart and 48.1% for Schmaltz apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

326 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 28 of them goals. His median goal came from 17 feet. 34% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 21% from beyond forty.