This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Adrian Kempe

35 goals and 73 points on 237 shots, and a 49.3 per cent chance share on the club's hardest line.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2016-17	LAK	25	2	4	6	-3	6	0	0	1	32	6.3	12:14
2017-18	LAK	81	16	21	37	+11	49	1	0	3	119	13.5	13:20
2018-19	LAK	81	12	16	28	-10	50	0	0	2	118	10.2	14:30
2019-20	LAK	69	11	21	32	-10	29	2	2	2	148	7.4	16:01
2020-21	LAK	56	14	15	29	-18	28	4	1	2	127	11.0	16:56
2021-22	LAK	78	35	19	54	-2	46	6	3	7	247	14.2	18:35
2022-23	LAK	82	41	26	67	+22	55	11	3	6	250	16.4	18:45
2023-24	LAK	77	28	47	75	+13	72	5	3	4	246	11.4	18:56
2024-25	LAK	81	35	38	73	+22	36	7	1	5	237	14.8	19:09
2025-26 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	630	194	207	401	+25	371	36	13	32	1524	12.7	16:50

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

35 goals and 38 assists in 81 games for 73 points, plus-22, on 19:09 a night and 237 shots — the most points on the club.

50.7 per cent at five-on-five, the 59th percentile, which is the lowest figure among Los Angeles’s top-nine forwards: he plays with Kopitar against the other club’s best line. His on-ice goals were 58-32 against an expected 43-42, so the results were considerably better than the chances.

The Finesse Game

The speed is elite and the shot is genuinely good — a heavy, quick release he can get away in stride, which is the specific combination that makes a rush scorer.

14.8 per cent shooting on 237 attempts is a fair rate, though a third of them come from beyond 40 feet: he shoots from wherever the rush ends rather than from a chosen spot. 38 assists is a career high and the playmaking has grown late.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 205, and he plays a hard, direct game. He forechecks at speed, takes contact to make plays, and is trusted defensively in a way most 35-goal scorers are not.

36 penalty minutes over 81 games. The durability is excellent — five consecutive seasons above 78 games.

The Intangibles

A first-round pick who took five years to become a scorer and has now done it four seasons running.

At 29 the projection is 30 goals and the same defensive reliability. He is the most valuable forward on this roster and the one whose contract situation shapes what the club can be.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in
32.5% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 96th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it
durable· was available
81 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck
“He forechecks at speed, takes contact to make plays, and is trusted defensively in a way most 35-goal scorers are not.”
defensively-responsiblea strength· comes back; can be trusted with a lead
“He forechecks at speed, takes contact to make plays, and is trusted defensively in a way most 35-goal scorers are not.”
playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes
“38 assists is a career high and the playmaking has grown late.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,119 minutes

Expected goals: 50.7%; 60th pct
Shot attempts: 51.1%; 65th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 58 for, 32 against. Expected: 43.2 and 42.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

93rd

Numbers

60th

The report ranks him 33 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 82 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 81 games

Top speed: 23.3 mph; 94th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 3.30 a game
Distance: 3.13 miles a game
Hardest shot: 94.4 mph; 95th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1119 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club: LAK took 54.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.7% — 3.3 below the club he did it on.
The role: Third line, 1,119 minutes at five-on-five — 77th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Anze Kopitar	51.1%	48.0%	45.4%
Vladislav Gavrikov	47.6%	52.9%	59.1%
Mikey Anderson	52.5%	49.6%	56.4%

51.1% together, 48.0% for him apart and 45.4% for Kopitar apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

357 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 35 of them goals. His median goal came from 19 feet. 26% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 32% from beyond forty.