This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Parker Kelly
Ottawa Senators Center
The 4th-most buried chair of 652 skaters, sixty penalty minutes in forty-one games, and a 100 mph shot.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-21 | OTT | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 100.0 | 7:32 |
| 2021-22 | OTT | 41 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -4 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 14.6 | 10:35 |
| 2022-23 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 42 | 8 | 5 | 13 | -3 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 49 | 16.3 | 10:31 |
This Season So Far
The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
41 games, 7 goals and 5 assists at 10:35 a night, minus-4, sixty penalty minutes, 48 shots. Undrafted, and forty-two NHL games at ten and a half minutes a night out of it.
Four hundred and thirty-four minutes of ice is short of the five hundred this book requires before it will place a man in the league distribution, so what follows is described rather than ranked.
The Finesse Game
23.6 per cent of his end-zone starts came in the attacking end — the 4th-lowest of the 652 skaters who took two hundred end-zone starts. Fifty-one in the attacking end against 165 in his own.
He, Dylan Gambrell and Austin Watson hold three of the four hardest chairs in the league.
Forty-eight shots produced seven goals at 14.6 per cent, from a 28-foot median with thirty-four per cent from the slot. A hundred miles an hour is the top shot speed, which is a genuine figure and comes off forty-eight attempts.
44.0 per cent of the expected goals across 396 five-on-five minutes. His ice went 14-18 against an expectation of 12.81-16.31.
The Physical Game
Sixty penalty minutes in forty-one games at ten and a half minutes a night, and sixty across a forty-two-game career.
That is close to a minute and a half of penalties a game from a fourth-line forward, on a club that took the 8th-most short-handed minutes in the league and killed at the 30th-best rate. It is the single most expensive thing in the file.
The Intangibles
22.1 mph and eighty recorded sprints over twenty miles an hour in forty-one games. Both are drawn from half a season and neither is comparable to a full one.
73.0 miles across forty-one games is 1.78 a game, which is low even before the ice time is accounted for.
He is 23, undrafted, and has forty-two NHL games. The chair, the shot speed and the penalty minutes are the three things the file says clearly, and on a club already spending 5:08 a game short-handed, the third of them is the reason the first two may not be enough.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best
24% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 1st percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it
“Undrafted, and forty-two NHL games at ten and a half minutes a night out of it.”
“Sixty penalty minutes in forty-one games at ten and a half minutes a night, and sixty across a forty-two-game career.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 396 minutes
- Expected goals
- 44%
- 14th pct
- Shot attempts
- 44.5%
- 13th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 14 for, 18 against. Expected: 12.8 and 16.3.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe report ranks him 39 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 61 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 41 games
- Top speed
- 22.1 mph
- 46th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 1.95 a game
- Distance
- 1.78 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 100.0 mph
- 99th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.1
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2021-22 · 396 minutes at five-on-five
- Logan Shawoff the roster13%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2021-22
- The club
- OTT took 47.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 44.0% — 3.1 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- 396 minutes at five-on-five — 13th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Watson | 46.1% | 41.8% | 42.8% |
| Dylan Gambrell | 45.0% | 43.2% | 37.2% |
| Nick Holden | 42.6% | 44.8% | 48.1% |
46.1% together, 41.8% for him apart and 42.8% for Watson apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
62 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 7 of them goals. His median goal came from 28 feet. 34% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 19% from beyond forty.