This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Joel Kiviranta
Colorado Avalanche Left Wing
16 goals on 84 shots, which is a 19 per cent conversion rate and will not happen again.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-20 | DAL | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7.7 | 10:39 |
| 2020-21 | DAL | 26 | 6 | 5 | 11 | +3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 19.4 | 12:10 |
| 2021-22 | DAL | 56 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 1.7 | 9:31 |
| 2022-23 | DAL | 70 | 8 | 1 | 9 | -9 | 40 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 85 | 9.4 | 12:09 |
| 2023-24 | COL | 56 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 6.3 | 9:50 |
| 2024-25 | COL | 79 | 16 | 7 | 23 | +15 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 84 | 19.1 | 12:31 |
| 2025-26 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 298 | 35 | 25 | 60 | +1 | 92 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 320 | 10.9 | 11:16 |
This Season So Far
The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
16 goals and 7 assists in 79 games for 23 points, plus-15, on 12:31 a night — a career high in goals by 8.
51.5 per cent at five-on-five, the 67th percentile. The number to hold lightly is the shooting: 16 goals on 84 shots is 19 per cent, roughly double his career rate, from a median distance of 22 feet.
The Finesse Game
A straight-line winger who gets to the net and shoots quickly when he arrives. 42 per cent of his attempts came from inside 20 feet, so the locations are genuinely good and the goals are not all luck — but 84 shots in 79 games is very little volume, and a scoring rate built on that few attempts is not a rate at all.
There is no playmaking to speak of. 7 assists is the honest measure of what he creates for other people.
The Physical Game
5-11 and 185, honest on the forecheck and unremarkable in the corners. He takes contact and gives some, and 20 penalty minutes across a full season is a player who stays out of trouble.
79 games is his first properly healthy season in some years.
The Intangibles
Undrafted, a Finn who arrived via a hat-trick in a Game 7, and a career spent being the last forward on a roster. He has never had a job that was safe.
The projection here is a straightforward one and it is unkind: this was a bottom-six winger’s usual season with an unusual number of pucks going in, and everything above 8 goals is borrowed. A club planning on 16 again is planning on the wrong thing.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 823 minutes
- Expected goals
- 51.5%
- 67th pct
- Shot attempts
- 51.7%
- 71st pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 37 for, 32 against. Expected: 31.6 and 29.7.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe numbers rank him 29 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 237 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 71 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2024-25 · 823 minutes at five-on-five
- Parker Kelly46%
- Ross Colton14%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2024-25
- The club
- COL took 53.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.5% — 1.7 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- Second line, 823 minutes at five-on-five — 38th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Logan O'Connor | 52.1% | 50.7% | 55.0% |
| Parker Kelly | 52.9% | 50.2% | 52.8% |
| Samuel Girard | 50.0% | 52.4% | 54.5% |
52.1% together, 50.7% for him apart and 55.0% for O'Connor apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
118 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 15 of them goals. His median goal came from 29 feet. 42% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 13% from beyond forty.