This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Joel Kiviranta
Colorado Avalanche Left Wing
16 goals on 84 shots, which is a 19 per cent conversion rate and will not happen again.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-20 | DAL | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7.7 | 10:39 |
| 2020-21 | DAL | 26 | 6 | 5 | 11 | +3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 19.4 | 12:10 |
| 2021-22 | DAL | 56 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 1.7 | 9:31 |
| 2022-23 | DAL | 70 | 8 | 1 | 9 | -9 | 40 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 85 | 9.4 | 12:09 |
| 2023-24 | COL | 56 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 6.3 | 9:50 |
| 2024-25 | COL | 79 | 16 | 7 | 23 | +15 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 84 | 19.1 | 12:31 |
| 2025-26 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 298 | 35 | 25 | 60 | +1 | 92 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 320 | 10.9 | 11:16 |
This Season So Far
The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
16 goals and 7 assists in 79 games for 23 points, plus-15, on 12:31 a night — a career high in goals by 8.
52.2 per cent at five-on-five, the 71st percentile. The number to hold lightly is the shooting: 16 goals on 84 shots is 19 per cent, roughly double his career rate, from a median distance of 22 feet.
The Finesse Game
A straight-line winger who gets to the net and shoots quickly when he arrives. 42 per cent of his attempts came from inside 20 feet, so the locations are genuinely good and the goals are not all luck — but 84 shots in 79 games is very little volume, and a scoring rate built on that few attempts is not a rate at all.
There is no playmaking to speak of. 7 assists is the honest measure of what he creates for other people.
The Physical Game
5-11 and 185, honest on the forecheck and unremarkable in the corners. He takes contact and gives some, and 20 penalty minutes across a full season is a player who stays out of trouble.
79 games is his first properly healthy season in some years.
The Intangibles
Undrafted, a Finn who arrived via a hat-trick in a Game 7, and a career spent being the last forward on a roster. He has never had a job that was safe.
The projection here is a straightforward one and it is unkind: this was a bottom-six winger’s usual season with an unusual number of pucks going in, and everything above 8 goals is borrowed. A club planning on 16 again is planning on the wrong thing.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
- ordinaryraised, and called ordinary
- he lacks itraised, and he does not have it
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- durable· was available
79 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
- hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best
35% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 9th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it
“A straight-line winger who gets to the net and shoots quickly when he arrives.”
“There is no playmaking to speak of. 7 assists is the honest measure of what he creates for other people.”
“5-11 and 185, honest on the forecheck and unremarkable in the corners.”
“20 penalty minutes across a full season is a player who stays out of trouble.”
“Undrafted, a Finn who arrived via a hat-trick in a Game 7, and a career spent being the last forward on a roster.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 823 minutes
- Expected goals
- 52.2%
- 71st pct
- Shot attempts
- 52%
- 73rd pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 29 for, 20 against. Expected: 30.4 and 27.8.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe numbers rank him 29 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 71 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 79 games
- Top speed
- 22.7 mph
- 70th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 1.18 a game
- Distance
- 2.08 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 89.2 mph
- 74th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 83.9
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2024-25 · 823 minutes at five-on-five
- Parker Kelly46%
- Ross Colton14%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2024-25
- The club
- COL took 53.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.2% — 1.0 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- Second line, 823 minutes at five-on-five — 38th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Logan O'Connor | 51.6% | 52.9% | 55.0% |
| Parker Kelly | 50.4% | 53.7% | 51.4% |
| Samuel Girard | 51.9% | 52.4% | 53.1% |
51.6% together, 52.9% for him apart and 55.0% for O'Connor apart. O'Connor was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
118 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 15 of them goals. His median goal came from 29 feet. 42% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 13% from beyond forty.