Photo by Jenn G from Seattle, WA, CC BY-SA 2.0

Parker Kelly

An undrafted fourth-liner who scored 21 goals, which is not what fourth-liners do.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2020-21	OTT	1	1	0	1	+1	0	0	0	0	1	100.0	7:32
2021-22	OTT	41	7	5	12	-4	60	0	0	0	48	14.6	10:35
2022-23	OTT	55	1	3	4	-9	37	0	0	1	59	1.7	10:30
2023-24	OTT	80	8	10	18	-8	30	0	2	0	86	9.3	11:42
2024-25	COL	80	8	11	19	-1	29	0	1	2	99	8.1	12:45
2025-26	COL	82	21	14	35	+18	30	0	1	2	104	20.2	12:42
2026-27 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	339	46	43	89	-3	186	0	4	5	397	11.6	11:51

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

21 goals and 35 points in all 82 games, plus-18, on 12 and 3-quarter minutes a night with no power-play time. 21 goals in 12 minutes a night is a genuinely unusual season.

The Finesse Game

He is not a skilled player and does not need to be. The goals come from the forecheck, the net front and the rebound — 104 shots produced 21 goals, which is a conversion rate that will not repeat and is not entirely luck either, because almost every shot he takes is from close range.

He does not create for linemates and does not carry the puck.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 185, and he plays a hard, honest forechecking game. He finishes checks, kills penalties, and gets to the interior every shift.

The Intangibles

Undrafted, 4 years of grinding through a bottom 6 on a bad team, and then a 20-goal season on a contender. That sequence tends to produce a contract somebody regrets, and it does not diminish what he did.

The realistic expectation is 12 to 15 goals rather than 21. The role and the effort are real regardless.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in
28.6% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 91st percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it
durable· was available
82 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 867 minutes

Expected goals: 56%; 92nd pct
Shot attempts: 56.9%; 95th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 40 for, 26 against. Expected: 36.2 and 28.5.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted

Report

82nd

Numbers

92nd

The two rank him within 10 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 78 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 82 games

Top speed: 22.2 mph; 50th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 1.52 a game
Distance: 2.08 miles a game
Hardest shot: 90.3 mph; 85th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

points in his last 10 games — 5 goals, 2 assists, 19 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 867 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club: COL took 56.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 56.0% — 0.9 below the club he did it on.
The role: Third line, 867 minutes at five-on-five — 44th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Jack Drury	59.2%	52.5%	56.1%
Brent Burns	51.1%	58.7%	56.1%
Sam Malinski	59.8%	53.6%	60.4%

59.2% together, 52.5% for him apart and 56.1% for Drury apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

140 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 21 of them goals. His median goal came from 15 feet. 39% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 28% from beyond forty.