Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Clayton Keller

Photo by Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0

Clayton Keller

Utah Mammoth Right Wing #9

88 points, 20 in his last 10, and 5-10.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2016-17ARI3022-300000—12:40
2017-18ARI82234265-72460321210.818:05
2018-19ARI82143347-21241052007.018:14
2019-20ARI70172744-6282021849.216:18
2020-21ARI56142135-51840312411.316:40
2021-22ARI67283563+32851217715.820:08
2022-23ARI82374986-24961422316.620:45
2023-24ARI78334376-203290422814.519:15
2024-25UTA81306090-1228100521813.819:07
2025-26UTA82266288+213830622511.619:05
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—683222374596-5226946234179112.418:41

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

26 goals and 62 assists in all 82 games — 88 points, plus-21, at 19:05 a night with 38 penalty minutes.

His 683rd career game and his 596th point. 374 career assists.

The Finesse Game

The best playmaker on the club by a distance and the reason this franchise had anything at all through the Arizona years.

The shot chart is the odd part: 331 unblocked attempts from a median of 30 feet with only 28 per cent from inside 20, and 23 goals. He shoots from range because at 175 pounds the slot is not always available, and the release is good enough to make it work.

62 assists is a top-10 figure in the league.

The Physical Game

5-10 and 175 pounds, and among the lightest forwards in this edition. 38 penalty minutes.

He does not go to the net front and cannot hold a wall. Everything is speed, edges and finding the seam a beat before the defence closes it.

82 games played is the remarkable part — he has been durable at a weight that ought not permit it.

The Intangibles

56.6 per cent of the expected goals, 94th percentile, and 56.4 per cent of the shot attempts, 94th, across 1,219 minutes, with the chances 60.0 to 46.0 in his favour.

The goals went 72-48 his way on top of that — 10 better than even those chances, on a club whose goaltending finished 6 worse than the shots it faced. Very little on this page argues against him.

20 points in his last 10 — second only to Connor McDavid’s 21. He is 28, the captain, and has played his entire career for a club that has moved cities and never won a playoff round.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • clutch· scored his goals when the game was still live

    5 of his 26 goals late or in overtime, 90th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure barely repeats (0.06) · 10% keep it

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there

    56.6% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 51.5% for his club in the minutes he sat: +5.1, 91st percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it

  • workhorse· carries the load at even strength

    14:52 a game at five-on-five, 91st percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it

  • sheltered· is started in the attacking end

    65% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 95th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,219 minutes

Expected goals
56.6%
94th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
56.4%
94th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 72 for, 48 against. Expected: 60.0 and 46.0.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
89th
Numbers
94th

The two rank him within 5 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 80 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 82 games

Top speed
22.8 mph
78th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.79 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.97 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
91.3 mph
88th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

20

points in his last 10 games — 4 goals, 16 assists, 22 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1219 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
UTA took 53.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 56.6% — 3.5 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,219 minutes at five-on-five — 83rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Nick Schmaltz57.4%52.3%36.9%
Mikhail Sergachev54.5%58.0%49.4%
John Marino57.6%56.0%53.4%

57.4% together, 52.3% for him apart and 36.9% for Schmaltz apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

331 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 23 of them goals. His median goal came from 17 feet. 29% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 22% from beyond forty.