Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.
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51

Shane Wright

Seattle Kraken Center

Nineteen goals on 91 shots — a 20.9 per cent conversion, the highest of any regular in this edition.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2022-23SEA8112+42000425.08:29
2023-24SEA8415+100031233.313:32
2024-25SEA79192544+4187029120.914:04
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—95242751+92070510722.413:33

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

19 goals and 25 assists in 79 games — 44 points at 14:04 a night, plus-4, with 7 power-play goals on only 91 shots.

46.2 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 13th percentile. His ice went 47-38 against an expectation of 34.05-39.64 — six goals better than expected for and nine worse against, on a second line that was losing the play.

The Finesse Game

91 attempts at a median of 20 feet with 49 per cent from inside 20 and 8 per cent from beyond 40, converting at 20.9 per cent. That is the highest conversion rate of any regular in this edition and it is not a repeatable number; the shot location is, and that is the more useful half of it.

25 assists in 79 games at fourteen minutes a night is real production. He plays the puck out of the corner and to the slot, and the power play is where the club has found the best use of him — 7 of his 19 goals came on it.

The Physical Game

6-0 and 192 and honest rather than heavy. He goes to the net, he takes the cross-check to stay there, and he wins a fair share of the pucks he goes after.

18 penalty minutes in 79 games. He is disciplined and he is not an agitator, and the physical game is functional rather than an asset.

The Intangibles

Fourth overall in 2022 after a season in which he was the consensus first pick for most of a year, and the draft-floor slide is still the first thing anybody says about him.

95 NHL games and 51 points. He is 21, he scored 19 goals in his first full season, and the club has been careful with the minutes in a way that looks correct.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • slot-man· shoots from where goals are scored

    66.3% of his attempts in the slot, 94th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.69) · 44% keep it

  • durable· was available

    79 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “He goes to the net, he takes the cross-check to stay there, and he wins a fair share of the pucks he goes after.”

  • wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line

    “He plays the puck out of the corner and to the slot, and the power play is where the club has found the best use of him — 7 of his 19 goals came on it.”

  • agitatorhe lacks it· gets under the skin; draws the retaliation

    “He is disciplined and he is not an agitator, and the physical game is functional rather than an asset.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 904 minutes

Expected goals
46.2%
21st pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
46.7%
23rd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 47 for, 38 against. Expected: 34.0 and 39.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
66th
Numbers
21st

The report ranks him 45 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 75 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 79 games

Top speed
22.9 mph
81st pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
2.65 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.41 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
86.4 mph
54th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 904 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
SEA took 47.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 46.2% — 1.0 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 904 minutes at five-on-five — 46th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Eeli Tolvanen46.6%45.9%46.8%
Jared McCann48.7%44.6%48.1%
Brandon Montour48.2%45.0%48.2%

46.6% together, 45.9% for him apart and 46.8% for Tolvanen apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

163 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 19 of them goals. His median goal came from 17 feet. 50% of his shots came from inside twenty feet.