Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

18

A.J. Greer

Florida Panthers Left Wing

Six foot three and 224 pounds with 205 career penalty minutes in 167 games, on a fourth line that is meant to be unpleasant.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2016-17COL5011-2400080.013:39
2017-18COL17033+229000130.07:24
2018-19COL15112-214000911.16:16
2020-21NJD10000700008:33
2021-22NJD911202000147.17:51
2022-23BOS615712+9114001667.69:07
2023-24CGY596612-7351005710.58:50
2024-25 so far
Career16713193202051011677.88:39

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

59 games in Calgary, 6 goals and 6 assists for 12 points, 1 on the power play, 35 penalty minutes, 8:50 a night and minus-7. He took 48.0 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 503 minutes, the 38th percentile, and his ice went 14-22 against an expectation of 17.80-19.28, all of it with the Flames.

Four goals of scoring that did not arrive and three more conceded than the chances called for, in nine minutes a night on a club that missed the playoffs. He arrives to do a specific job.

The Finesse Game

57 shots at a median of 26 feet with 38 per cent from inside 20, converted at 10.5 per cent. Thirteen goals in 167 career games.

19 career assists in 167 games. There is not a great deal here and there is not meant to be.

The Physical Game

He is 6-3 and 224 and hits everything that moves, and 205 career penalty minutes in 167 games is the rate of a man doing it deliberately.

He will fight, he forechecks hard, and he is hard to move anywhere near the net. He takes liberties after the whistle and the club signed him for that as much as for anything else.

The Intangibles

A second-round pick in 2015 out of Joliette, seven seasons across four organisations, and 32 points in 167 games. He was drafted 39th overall and has spent nine years becoming a fourth-line winger.

On this roster that is a real job. Florida takes the second-most shorthanded time in the league because it plays this way, and Greer is one of the men who makes it play this way.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 503 minutes

Expected goals
48%
38th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
48%
35th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 14 for, 22 against. Expected: 17.8 and 19.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
31st
Numbers
38th

The two rank him within 7 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 415 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 62 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with CGY · 503 minutes at five-on-five

  • Dillon Dubeoff the roster38%
  • Adam Ruzickaoff the roster37%

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
CGY took 49.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.0% — 1.9 below the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 503 minutes at five-on-five — 18th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Dillon Dube48.8%47.5%41.6%
Adam Ruzicka44.1%50.3%43.8%
Rasmus Andersson49.4%47.1%48.5%

48.8% together, 47.5% for him apart and 41.6% for Dube apart. Dube was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Dube than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

77 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 6 of them goals. His median goal came from 16 feet. 39% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 21% from beyond forty.