This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

A.J. Greer

Six foot three and 224 pounds with 205 career penalty minutes in 167 games, on a fourth line that is meant to be unpleasant.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2016-17	COL	5	0	1	1	-2	4	0	0	0	8	0.0	13:39
2017-18	COL	17	0	3	3	+2	29	0	0	0	13	0.0	7:24
2018-19	COL	15	1	1	2	-2	14	0	0	0	9	11.1	6:16
2020-21	NJD	1	0	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	0	—	8:33
2021-22	NJD	9	1	1	2	0	2	0	0	0	14	7.1	7:51
2022-23	BOS	61	5	7	12	+9	114	0	0	1	66	7.6	9:07
2023-24	CGY	59	6	6	12	-7	35	1	0	0	57	10.5	8:50
2024-25 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	167	13	19	32	0	205	1	0	1	167	7.8	8:39

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

59 games in Calgary, 6 goals and 6 assists for 12 points, 1 on the power play, 35 penalty minutes, 8:50 a night and minus-7. He took 48.0 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 503 minutes, the 38th percentile, and his ice went 14-22 against an expectation of 17.80-19.28, all of it with the Flames.

Four goals of scoring that did not arrive and three more conceded than the chances called for, in nine minutes a night on a club that missed the playoffs. He arrives to do a specific job.

The Finesse Game

57 shots at a median of 26 feet with 38 per cent from inside 20, converted at 10.5 per cent. Thirteen goals in 167 career games.

19 career assists in 167 games. There is not a great deal here and there is not meant to be.

The Physical Game

He is 6-3 and 224 and hits everything that moves, and 205 career penalty minutes in 167 games is the rate of a man doing it deliberately.

He will fight, he forechecks hard, and he is hard to move anywhere near the net. He takes liberties after the whistle and the club signed him for that as much as for anything else.

The Intangibles

A second-round pick in 2015 out of Joliette, seven seasons across four organisations, and 32 points in 167 games. He was drafted 39th overall and has spent nine years becoming a fourth-line winger.

On this roster that is a real job. Florida takes the second-most shorthanded time in the league because it plays this way, and Greer is one of the men who makes it play this way.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally
“He is 6-3 and 224 and hits everything that moves, and 205 career penalty minutes in 167 games is the rate of a man doing it deliberately.”
nastya strength· hard to play against; the edge is the point
“He will fight, he forechecks hard, and he is hard to move anywhere near the net.”
forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck
“He will fight, he forechecks hard, and he is hard to move anywhere near the net.”
hard-to-movea strength· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand
“He will fight, he forechecks hard, and he is hard to move anywhere near the net.”
takes-libertiesa strength· crosses the line and knows where it is
“He takes liberties after the whistle and the club signed him for that as much as for anything else.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 503 minutes

Expected goals: 48%; 38th pct
Shot attempts: 48%; 35th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 14 for, 22 against. Expected: 17.8 and 19.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

20th

Numbers

38th

The two rank him within 18 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 62 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 59 games

Top speed: 21.8 mph; 30th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 0.68 a game
Distance: 1.42 miles a game
Hardest shot: 92.1 mph; 82nd pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with CGY · 503 minutes at five-on-five

Dillon Dubeoff the roster38%
Adam Ruzickaoff the roster37%
Walker Duehr28%

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club: CGY took 49.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.0% — 1.9 below the club he did it on.
The role: Fourth line, 503 minutes at five-on-five — 18th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Dillon Dube	48.8%	47.5%	41.6%
Adam Ruzicka	44.1%	50.3%	43.8%
Rasmus Andersson	49.4%	47.1%	48.5%

48.8% together, 47.5% for him apart and 41.6% for Dube apart. Dube was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Dube than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

77 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 6 of them goals. His median goal came from 16 feet. 39% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 21% from beyond forty.