Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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73

Noah Gregor

Florida Panthers Left Wing

7 points in 52 games and a minus-21, and a fourth-line winger on his fourth organisation.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20SJS28325-58100339.110:04
2020-21SJS30516-166000608.311:43
2021-22SJS6381523-21250011565.114:56
2022-23SJS5710717-9320011198.412:58
2023-24TOR636612-7171111105.511:24
2024-25OTT/SJS52437-2128012606.711:06
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—293363470-791162255386.712:19

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

4 goals and 3 assists in 52 games for 7 points, minus-21, on 11:06 a night with Ottawa, including a shorthanded goal.

60 shots in 52 games and 4 goals. The rating is the second-worst in this chapter and it came in eleven minutes a night.

The Finesse Game

The speed is the only NHL tool and it is genuine. 7 points in 52 games is his rate over the last three seasons and there has never been a professional season above 21 points.

The hands do not keep up with the feet, which has been the story since he was a junior scorer.

The Physical Game

6 feet and 201, and neither heavy nor timid. He forechecks at speed and does not win many pucks when he arrives.

28 penalty minutes over 52 games is a moderate rate.

The Intangibles

A fourth-round pick, four organisations by 27, and a career spent on the boundary between the leagues.

The projection is a thirteenth forward and an American League recall. Florida signed him for depth on a minimum contract, which is the correct price.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • ordinaryraised, and called ordinary
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in

    30.6% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 92nd percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “He forechecks at speed and does not win many pucks when he arrives.”

  • wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line

    “He forechecks at speed and does not win many pucks when he arrives.”

  • punishingpresent and ordinary· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “6 feet and 201, and neither heavy nor timid.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 493 minutes

Expected goals
40.1%
3rd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
43.8%
8th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 6 for, 27 against. Expected: 12.9 and 19.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
13th
Numbers
3rd

The two rank him within 10 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 65 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 52 games

Top speed
22.8 mph
75th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
2.00 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.84 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
93.5 mph
93rd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 with OTT · 416 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
SJS took 44.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 40.1% — 4.1 below the club he did it on.
The role
493 minutes at five-on-five — 16th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Zack Ostapchuk40.7%39.5%46.7%
Tyler Kleven37.9%41.3%45.8%
Travis Hamonic43.1%38.9%46.8%

40.7% together, 39.5% for him apart and 46.7% for Ostapchuk apart. Ostapchuk was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

98 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 4 of them goals. His median goal came from 15 feet. 28% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 31% from beyond forty.