This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Nick Perbix
Nashville Predators Defense
Six foot four, right-handed, plus-8 in Tampa, and signed to be the settled top-four partner this blue line has not had.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-23 | TBL | 69 | 5 | 15 | 20 | +11 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 111 | 4.5 | 15:24 |
| 2023-24 | TBL | 77 | 2 | 22 | 24 | +8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 57 | 3.5 | 17:05 |
| 2024-25 | TBL | 74 | 6 | 13 | 19 | +8 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 66 | 9.1 | 14:41 |
| 2025-26 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 220 | 13 | 50 | 63 | +27 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 234 | 5.6 | 15:45 |
This Season So Far
The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
74 games with Tampa Bay, 6 goals and 13 assists for 19 points at 14:41 a night, on 66 shots at 9.09 per cent. 20 penalty minutes. Plus-8. He signed with Nashville in the summer.
Three seasons in Tampa in a sheltered third-pair role, with consistently good underlying numbers inside it. Fourteen minutes a night is the entire sample; whether it holds at twenty is why he was signed and why the price was reasonable.
The Finesse Game
A right-shot defenceman who moves the puck quickly and accurately and does not hold it longer than he should. 9.09 per cent on 66 attempts is a decent point shot, and 19 points at fourteen minutes projects respectably at a larger assignment.
The skating is fine rather than notable. He is not beaten wide often and he does not join a rush to change a game.
The Physical Game
6-4 and 206, and he uses the reach far more than the body. He closes a rush by taking away the space rather than by hitting, and boxes out competently in front of his own net.
20 penalty minutes in 74 games is very good discipline for the size, and exactly what a club with Nashville’s shorthanded problem was shopping for.
The Intangibles
A sixth-round pick who spent four years at St. Cloud State and did not arrive until 24.
He has never been asked to play top-four minutes and Nashville is about to ask. That is the entire bet, and it is a cheap one — which is the correct kind of gamble for a club in this position to be making.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
- ordinaryraised, and called ordinary
- he lacks itraised, and he does not have it
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
“6-4 and 206, and he uses the reach far more than the body.”
“He closes a rush by taking away the space rather than by hitting, and boxes out competently in front of his own net.”
“The skating is fine rather than notable. He is not beaten wide often and he does not join a rush to change a game.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,000 minutes
- Expected goals
- 48.6%
- 40th pct
- Shot attempts
- 51.2%
- 67th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 42 for, 40 against. Expected: 38.4 and 40.7.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe numbers rank him 35 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 61 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 74 games
- Top speed
- 21.3 mph
- 33rd pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 0.34 a game
- Distance
- 2.09 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 91.1 mph
- 53rd pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 89.7
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2024-25 with TBL · 1000 minutes at five-on-five
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2024-25
- The club
- TBL took 50.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.6% — 2.2 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- Third pair, 1,000 minutes at five-on-five — 61st percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Lilleberg | 47.3% | 50.9% | 44.3% |
| Jake Guentzel | 51.7% | 47.1% | 53.6% |
| Brayden Point | 47.8% | 48.8% | 52.2% |
47.3% together, 50.9% for him apart and 44.3% for Lilleberg apart. He was carrying it: the share stayed with him and left Lilleberg behind.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
115 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 6 of them goals. His median goal came from 28 feet. 10% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 65% from beyond forty.