Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

3

Adam Pelech

New York Islanders Defense

One goal on 71 shots, a career plus-75, and 26 goals in 500 games.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16NYI9022-1000080.017:35
2016-17NYI443710-56000407.516:50
2017-18NYI7831619+7280011062.819:16
2018-19NYI7851621+22240001104.518:38
2019-20NYI38189+420000492.021:08
2020-21NYI5641014+1518010824.921:03
2021-22NYI7832528+20420001042.921:17
2022-23NYI6161521+1536000976.221:39
2023-24NYI5811516-227001711.420:17
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—50026114140+752010126673.919:59

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

58 games, 1 goal and 15 assists for 16 points, 27 penalty minutes, 20:17 a night and minus-2. He took 49.2 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 989 minutes, the 46th percentile, and his ice went 40-43 against an expectation of 37.64-38.86.

Two goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and four more conceded than they called for. Fifty-eight games from a man the club needs for eighty-two.

The Finesse Game

114 attempts at a median of 52 feet, with 5 per cent from inside twenty and 80 per cent from beyond forty, 71 on goal, converted at 1.4 per cent.

114 career assists in 500 games and 26 goals. One goal on seventy-one shots is the shot chart of a man who has never been asked to score and has never tried. The first pass is quick and accurate and that is the whole of the puck game.

The Physical Game

He is 6-3 and 212 and defends with reach and a very early gap.

201 career penalty minutes in 500 games at twenty minutes a night is a low rate. He blocks shots, clears the crease, and kills penalties, and he does not need to hit anybody to do it.

The Intangibles

A third-round pick in 2012 out of Toronto, nine seasons, 500 games and 140 points, all of it for one organisation, at a career plus-75.

He is 30 and a career plus-75 on Islanders clubs that have been outshot every year is the single most under-noticed number in this chapter. When he plays this club defends; he played fifty-eight games and the kill finished twenty-sixth.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • defends-with-reacha strength· takes the puck before the contact happens

    “He is 6-3 and 212 and defends with reach and a very early gap.”

  • shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it

    “He blocks shots, clears the crease, and kills penalties, and he does not need to hit anybody to do it.”

  • clears-the-creasea strength· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “He blocks shots, clears the crease, and kills penalties, and he does not need to hit anybody to do it.”

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “He blocks shots, clears the crease, and kills penalties, and he does not need to hit anybody to do it.”

  • defensively-responsiblea strength· comes back; can be trusted with a lead

    “One goal on seventy-one shots is the shot chart of a man who has never been asked to score and has never tried.”

  • transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “The first pass is quick and accurate and that is the whole of the puck game.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 989 minutes

Expected goals
49.2%
47th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49%
46th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 40 for, 43 against. Expected: 37.6 and 38.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
39th
Numbers
47th

The two rank him within 8 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 67 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 58 games

Top speed
21.6 mph
45th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.7

Bursts over 20 mph
0.43 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.73 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
96.7 mph
80th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.2

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 989 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
NYI took 49.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.2% — 0.1 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second pair, 989 minutes at five-on-five — 56th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Noah Dobson49.1%49.3%49.9%
Mathew Barzal51.2%48.0%53.3%
Bo Horvat49.1%49.3%54.4%

49.1% together, 49.3% for him apart and 49.9% for Dobson apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

114 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 44 feet. 5% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 80% from beyond forty.