Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

44

Calvin de Haan

Colorado Avalanche Defense

Twelfth overall in 2009, 632 games later, and 6 per cent of his shots from inside twenty feet.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2011-12NYI1000+1000020.013:01
2013-14NYI5131316-730101714.221:01
2014-15NYI6511112+324010921.119:01
2015-16NYI7221416+3200001022.020:38
2016-17NYI8252025+15361011164.319:51
2017-18NYI3311112+118000442.318:45
2018-19CAR7411314+1200011021.018:31
2019-20CHI29156+1010000422.419:55
2020-21CHI441910-1614001581.718:37
2021-22CHI69448-21330001073.718:57
2022-23CAR5321012+720000513.913:32
2023-24TBL593710-922000565.416:38
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—63224117141-22372148432.918:43

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

Fifty-nine games in Tampa Bay, 3 goals and 7 assists, 16:38 a night and minus-9. He took 52.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 865 minutes, the 74th percentile, and his ice went 30-39 against an expectation of 33.35-29.79.

A good chance share and a bad result, which is the sixth defenceman’s lot. He arrives in Colorado at 33 as insurance rather than as a plan.

The Finesse Game

Twenty-four goals in 632 games at 2.85 per cent is one of the lowest conversion rates any defenceman carries into a season, and 6 per cent of his shots from inside 20 feet with 75 per cent from beyond 40 explains it. He shoots to create a rebound and nothing else.

One hundred and seventeen assists in 632 games. The first pass is quick and correct and there is no second idea behind it.

The Physical Game

He is 6-1 and 192 and defends by closing the gap early rather than by finishing checks. Twenty-two penalty minutes in 59 games is a moderate rate.

He blocks shots and puts himself in front of things, which across twelve seasons has cost him a great deal of health. He does not win the wall against heavy wingers.

The Intangibles

The twelfth pick in 2009 who never became a top-pair defenceman and has instead played 632 games as a reliable third-pair one across five clubs. That is a career and it is not the one anybody projected.

On a blue line built around Makar, Toews and Girard, a man who does the simple thing correctly is the exact sixth defenceman required.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it

    “He blocks shots and puts himself in front of things, which across twelve seasons has cost him a great deal of health.”

  • wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line

    “He does not win the wall against heavy wingers.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 865 minutes

Expected goals
52.8%
74th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.4%
67th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 30 for, 39 against. Expected: 33.4 and 29.8.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
2nd
Numbers
74th

The numbers rank him 72 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 53 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 59 games

Top speed
20.9 mph
17th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.7

Bursts over 20 mph
0.08 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.21 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
84.5 mph
18th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.2

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with TBL · 865 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
TBL took 50.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.8% — 2.3 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second pair, 865 minutes at five-on-five — 45th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Darren Raddysh56.4%50.3%51.3%
Nicholas Paul55.5%51.7%48.8%
Anthony Cirelli51.9%53.3%52.6%

56.4% together, 50.3% for him apart and 51.3% for Raddysh apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

89 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 67 feet. 6% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 75% from beyond forty.