Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

78

Emil Lilleberg

Tampa Bay Lightning Defense

Not one attempt from inside twenty feet in 37 games, and a minus-15.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2023-24TBL37055-1516000310.016:12
2024-25 so far
Career37055-1516000310.016:12

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

37 games, no goals and 5 assists, 16 penalty minutes, 16:12 a night and minus-15. He took 45.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 558 minutes, the 30th percentile, and his ice went 18-31 against an expectation of 16.64-19.72.

A goal and a half of finishing above what the chances were worth and eleven more conceded than they called for. Eighteen goals for and thirty-one against in 558 minutes is a very hard first season.

The Finesse Game

44 attempts at a median of 52 feet with 82 per cent of them from beyond forty and not one from inside twenty, 30 of those on goal, none of which went in.

Five assists and no goals in 37 games. There is no offensive dimension here at all — the puck goes to the far wall or into shin pads from the point — and the club has not asked him for one.

The Physical Game

He is 6-3 and 215 and took 16 penalty minutes.

Sixteen career penalty minutes in 37 games. He is a large, straightforward defenceman who plays through the man in front of the net rather than around him, and there is more physical game here than sixteen minutes a night has drawn out.

The Intangibles

One hundred and seventh overall in 2021 by Arizona, one season, and 5 points in 37 games.

He was born in Sarpsborg, Norway, was a fourth-round pick, and reached the league at 22 for a club that did not draft him.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 558 minutes

Expected goals
45.8%
26th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.3%
66th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 18 for, 31 against. Expected: 16.6 and 19.7.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
43rd
Numbers
26th

The two rank him within 17 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 68 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 558 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
TBL took 50.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 45.8% — 4.7 below the club he did it on.
The role
558 minutes at five-on-five — 22nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Nick Perbix46.8%45.0%51.7%
Michael Eyssimont46.2%45.6%50.0%
Nicholas Paul45.7%45.8%51.0%

46.8% together, 45.0% for him apart and 51.7% for Perbix apart. Perbix was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

44 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 0 of them goals. 0% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 82% from beyond forty.