Armchair Hockey Scout

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2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2025-26 report →

4

Nick Leddy

St. Louis Blues Defense

The 10th-fewest hits and 6th-fewest blocks of 202 defencemen, at 21:25 a night and minus-30.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2010-11CHI46437-340003710.814:19
2011-12CHI8233437-1210000943.222:05
2012-13CHI4861218+1510202659.217:25
2013-14CHI8272431+10104011235.716:22
2014-15NYI78102737+18141011208.320:22
2015-16NYI8153540-9253011214.122:37
2016-17NYI81113546-3123011378.022:43
2017-18NYI80103242-42204011536.522:25
2018-19NYI82422260180001163.521:33
2019-20NYI6031821-114100724.221:07
2020-21NYI5622931-38101792.521:35
2021-22DET/STL7532124-3022000714.221:25
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—85168292360-60167190811885.720:37

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

75 games between Detroit and St Louis, 3 goals and 21 assists at 21:25 a night, minus-30, twenty-two penalty minutes, 71 shots. Sixteenth overall in 2009 by Minnesota, twelve seasons, 851 games, 360 points.

The Finesse Game

2.65 shots per 60 is the 11th-fewest of the 202 defencemen who played forty games — seventy-one attempts across seventy-five games at twenty-one minutes a night.

0.75 even-strength points per 60 is the 29th percentile, and twenty-five per cent of his points came on the power play off 1:49 a night at the 75th.

45.6 per cent of the expected goals is the 15th percentile and 46.1 per cent of the attempts the 18th, out of 50.5 per cent offensive-zone starts, dead in the middle at the 330th-highest of 652 skaters. The chair was even and the results were not.

His ice went 51-69 against an expectation of 54.55-65.04 — three and a half short in front and four more against, so the minus-30 is mostly a shot-share problem rather than a luck problem.

The Physical Game

1.38 hits per 60 is the 10th-fewest of all 202 defencemen and 2.50 blocks per 60 the 6th-fewest.

Both of those, at 21:25 a night, from a 6-0, 205-pound defenceman, and there is no third column that redeems them: 0.19 penalties drawn per 60 is the 14th percentile.

The Intangibles

A 23.5 mph top speed is the 98th percentile among defencemen and 3.1 bursts over twenty miles an hour per 60 the 88th, at 31.

That is the case for him and it is a real one. Only Devon Toews and Cale Makar were measured faster among all 192 defencemen, and he covers 8.23 miles per 60 at the 26th percentile, so the speed is a top end rather than a work rate.

His shot is 91.5 mph, the 25th percentile.

He is 31, with 360 points in 851 games across twelve seasons and a career plus-minus of minus-60. The speed and the twelve seasons of twenty-plus assists are the case. The fewest hits and blocks in his cohort, seventy-one shots, a possession share in the bottom fifth and a minus-30 are why a club paying him top-four minutes finished 26th in attempt share.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • edgesa strength· changes direction at speed; the forechecker commits and he is gone

    “A 23.5 mph top speed is the 98th percentile among defencemen and 3.1 bursts over twenty miles an hour per 60 the 88th, at 31.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 1,403 minutes

Expected goals
45.6%
21st pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
46.1%
22nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 51 for, 69 against. Expected: 54.5 and 65.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
22nd
Numbers
21st

The two rank him within 1 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 54 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 75 games

Top speed
23.5 mph
99th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.5

Bursts over 20 mph
1.12 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.94 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
91.5 mph
46th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.4

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 with DET · 1037 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
STL took 48.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 45.6% — 2.6 below the club he did it on.
The role
1,403 minutes at five-on-five — 94th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Filip Hronek45.8%45.5%45.8%
Lucas Raymond48.5%44.5%47.9%
Dylan Larkin49.0%44.3%49.2%

45.8% together, 45.5% for him apart and 45.8% for Hronek apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

104 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 3 of them goals. His median goal came from 50 feet. 8% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 79% from beyond forty.