Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

26

Nic Dowd

Washington Capitals Center

A seventh-round pick, 35 years old, and the best fourth-line results on a club that finished first in the East.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16LAK5000+1200030.010:35
2016-17LAK7061622-1525102787.712:27
2017-18LAK/VAN56314-1028101515.910:32
2018-19WSH6481422+10200034717.010:18
2019-20WSH567815+11280315213.510:50
2020-21WSH5611415+4310036816.214:22
2021-22WSH64101424+10440109011.114:16
2022-23WSH65131225+6260036221.013:21
2023-24WSH64121022-2470026119.715:12
2024-25WSH82141327+7560238616.315:11
2025-26 so far
Career5828492176+22307261859814.113:02

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

14 goals and 13 assists in 82 games — 27 points at 15:11 a night, plus-7, with 2 shorthanded goals and 3 game-winners on 86 shots, converting at 16.3 per cent, and 56 penalty minutes.

51.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 66th percentile. His ice went 66-44 against an expectation of 38.92-36.82, which is a fourth line that came out a long way ahead of its chances at both ends.

The Finesse Game

86 attempts at a median of 22 feet with 46 per cent from inside 20 and 12 per cent from beyond 40, converting at 16.3 per cent. Fourteen goals from a checking centre at fifteen minutes a night is a very good return.

13 assists. 176 points in 582 career games is the offensive record and it has never been the job. He wins the draw that begins the shift and he is the man sent out to protect a lead in the last minute.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 195 and he plays a hard, honest game. He forechecks first, he blocks shots, and he finishes checks.

56 penalty minutes in 82 games is a moderate rate. He is not an agitator; a share of it is the foul that a checking centre takes because the alternative is a scoring chance.

The Intangibles

A seventh-round pick in 2009 — 198th overall — out of St. Cloud State, and 582 games across three organisations, with a Stanley Cup here in 2018.

He is 35 and from Huntsville, Alabama, which makes him one of a very small number of NHL players from the American South. He has been this club’s fourth-line centre for seven seasons.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 972 minutes

Expected goals
51.4%
66th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49.6%
48th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 66 for, 44 against. Expected: 38.9 and 36.8.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
76th
Numbers
66th

The two rank him within 10 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 77 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 972 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
WSH took 50.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.4% — 0.6 above the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 972 minutes at five-on-five — 57th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Brandon Duhaime50.7%53.9%52.8%
Taylor Raddysh50.7%51.8%54.5%
Martin Fehérváry56.9%48.4%51.4%

50.7% together, 53.9% for him apart and 52.8% for Duhaime apart. He was better away from Duhaime, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Duhaime.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

125 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 14 of them goals. His median goal came from 12 feet. 46% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 12% from beyond forty.