Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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42

Martin Fehérváry

Washington Capitals Defense

Six-two, 215 pounds, and his ice went 52-50.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20WSH6011-2600070.015:59
2021-22WSH798917+1526012968.319:39
2022-23WSH6761016-1131001916.620:00
2023-24WSH6631316-724000614.919:38
2024-25WSH8152025+1825000766.619:00
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—299225375+131120133316.719:29

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

5 goals and 20 assists in 81 games — 25 points at 19:00 a night, plus-18, on 76 shots, and 25 penalty minutes.

51.7 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 78th percentile. His ice went 52-50 against an expectation of 51.52-48.12 — nineteen goals better than expected for and nine fewer conceded, which is the best on-ice differential on this blue line by a distance.

The Finesse Game

76 attempts in 81 games at a median of 56 feet with 76 per cent from beyond 40 and 6 per cent from inside 20, and 5 goals. 22 goals in 299 career games.

20 assists is a career high. The first pass is quick and correct and there is nothing beyond it — he does not hold the puck and he does not attempt anything that becomes a rush the other way.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 215 and he clears the front of his own net by force. He finishes checks that hurt, he blocks shots, and he defends the rush by closing the gap early rather than backing in.

25 penalty minutes in 81 games at nineteen a night is a low rate for a defenceman playing this way. He does not retaliate.

The Intangibles

A second-round pick in 2018 — 46th overall — out of Bratislava, and 299 games, all of it here, five seasons in.

He is 26. He has been a top-four defenceman on this club since he was 22 and has never scored more than 25 points, which is exactly the player he was drafted to be.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    81 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • clears-the-creasea strength· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “**6-2 and 215 and he clears the front of his own net by force.** He finishes checks that hurt, he blocks shots, and he defends the rush by closing the gap early rather than backing in.”

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He finishes checks that hurt, he blocks shots, and he defends the rush by closing the gap early rather than backing in.”

  • shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it

    “He finishes checks that hurt, he blocks shots, and he defends the rush by closing the gap early rather than backing in.”

  • retaliateshe lacks it· answers the cross-check, and takes the second penalty

    “He does not retaliate.”

  • transitionhe lacks it· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “**The first pass is quick and correct and there is nothing beyond it** — he does not hold the puck and he does not attempt anything that becomes a rush the other way.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,204 minutes

Expected goals
51.7%
68th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.8%
62nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 52 for, 50 against. Expected: 51.5 and 48.1.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
60th
Numbers
68th

The two rank him within 8 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 74 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 81 games

Top speed
23.3 mph
96th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.52 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.52 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
91.8 mph
58th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 89.7

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1204 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
WSH took 50.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.7% — 0.9 above the club he did it on.
The role
Third pair, 1,204 minutes at five-on-five — 85th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Matt Roy49.5%53.6%49.8%
Pierre-Luc Dubois52.8%51.3%56.7%
Aliaksei Protas51.7%51.7%53.8%

49.5% together, 53.6% for him apart and 49.8% for Roy apart. He was better away from Roy, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Roy.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

118 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 5 of them goals. His median goal came from 32 feet. 6% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 76% from beyond forty.