Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Nic Dowd

Photo by mark6mauno, CC BY-SA 2.0

Nic Dowd

Vegas Golden Knights Center #26

657 games, the 198th pick, and 73 penalty minutes.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16LAK5000+1200030.010:35
2016-17LAK7061622-1525102787.712:27
2017-18LAK/VAN56314-1028101515.910:32
2018-19WSH6481422+10200034717.010:18
2019-20WSH567815+11280315213.510:50
2020-21WSH5611415+4310036816.214:22
2021-22WSH64101424+10440109011.114:16
2022-23WSH65131225+6260036221.013:21
2023-24WSH64121022-2470026119.715:12
2024-25WSH82141327+7560238616.315:11
2025-26WSH/VGK7551621-473010667.614:32
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—65789108197+18380271866413.413:12

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

5 goals and 16 assists in 75 games — 21 points, minus-4, at 14:32 a night with 73 penalty minutes. His 5-on-5 work was done in Washington.

His 657th career game.

He turned 36 in May.

The Finesse Game

103 unblocked attempts, 6 goals, median 21 feet with 48 per cent from inside 20. The location is right and the volume is a fourth-liner’s.

197 points in 657 career games. 16 assists in 75 games is a fair return for the role.

The Physical Game

6-2, 195, and a genuinely hard checking centre — he wins faceoffs at one of the best rates in the league, kills penalties, and blocks shots. 73 penalty minutes is a high total for 14 minutes a night.

The skating has slowed at 36 and the positioning has not.

The Intangibles

46.2 per cent of the expected goals, 22nd percentile, and 49.2 per cent of the shot attempts, 49th, across 909 minutes in Washington, with the goals 21-28 against.

Those are the hardest defensive minutes on a good club and the numbers are what those minutes produce.

4 points in his last 10. He is 36, a 198th overall pick, and exactly the fourth-line centre a club with Vegas’s ambitions carries. 10 seasons of doing the same job well.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best

    28% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 3rd percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 909 minutes

Expected goals
46.2%
23rd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49.2%
50th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 21 for, 28 against. Expected: 30.6 and 35.6.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
49th
Numbers
23rd

The report ranks him 26 points above where the numbers do. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 72 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 75 games

Top speed
22.1 mph
41st pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.89 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.34 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
82.5 mph
33rd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

4

points in his last 10 games — 1 goals, 3 assists, 13 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 with WSH · 698 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
VGK took 53.4% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 46.2% — 7.2 below the club he did it on.
The role
909 minutes at five-on-five — 49th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Brandon Duhaime46.6%46.0%48.0%
Ethen Frank46.7%46.0%50.7%
Martin Fehervary42.3%48.0%50.4%

46.6% together, 46.0% for him apart and 48.0% for Duhaime apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

103 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 6 of them goals. His median goal came from 14 feet. 48% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 15% from beyond forty.